MLB Best Prop Picks for Monday 9/11/23

Are you craving some thrilling MLB action? Look no further because we’ve got you covered! It’s time to elevate your game and craft those winning MLB DFS lineups with the help of Oddsjam. Our expert picks are here to guide you through the exciting world of sports betting. Let’s dive into the prop bets for tonight’s games and uncover the winning opportunities.

Logan Gilbert’s Win Potential

Bet on Logan Gilbert to record a win (+105, DraftKings sportsbook)

The Los Angeles Angels might have thrown in the towel for the 2023 season, but that’s great news for Logan Gilbert’s win potential. Gilbert boasts a solid 3.61 ERA and an impressive 13-5 record this season. He’s been consistent, with a 3.58 FIP, 3.67 SIERA, and an elite 4.5% BB%.

The Angels’ offense, which was strong earlier in the season, has been struggling lately, ranking worst in offensive fWAR over the last 30 days. They sit 29th with a .289 wOBA in that span. Gilbert couldn’t ask for a better opportunity to secure a win than facing the struggling Angels at home. ➤ Bet on Logan Gilbert to record a win with confidence.

Mason Miller’s Strikeout Challenge

Expect Mason Miller to fall short of 3.5 strikeouts (-110, DraftKings sportsbook)

In an AL West showdown between the Oakland A’s and the Houston Astros, Mason Miller takes the mound for the A’s. However, Miller hasn’t started a game since early May due to injuries. He’ll be on a pitch count, making it challenging to rack up strikeouts.

The Astros’ offense is a tough nut to crack, ranking first with a .379 wOBA over the last 30 days and boasting a low 15.9% K%. Miller may have struck out three batters in his last outing, but facing the Astros is a different story. ➤ Expect Mason Miller to fall short of 3.5 strikeouts.

Lindor’s Impact

Bank on Francisco Lindor to exceed 1.5 total bases (+105, DraftKings sportsbook)

The New York Mets take on the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks with Zach Davies on the mound for the D-backs. Davies has had a rough season, sporting a 6.81 ERA and struggling against both left and right-handed hitters.

Francisco Lindor, on the other hand, has been in excellent form, swatting 26 homers and 32 doubles this season. He’s been particularly effective against left-handed pitching and has an impressive .273 isolated power and an .860 OPS in September. Expect Lindor to make an impact against Davies and deliver value. ➤ Bank on Francisco Lindor to exceed 1.5 total bases.

Tucker’s Total Bases

Bet on Kyle Tucker to achieve over 1.5 total bases (+130, DraftKings sportsbook)

With Mason Miller on a pitch count for the A’s, the Astros have a great opportunity to exploit the A’s bullpen, which ranks last in the league with a 5.34 ERA. Kyle Tucker, a standout hitter for the Astros, is hitting .290 with 26 home runs and an .888 OPS this season.

Tucker doesn’t strike out much, boasting a low 13.1% K%. He’s been successful against both lefties and righties, making it hard to predict who he’ll face from the A’s bullpen after Miller departs. Given the matchup and odds, this is a prop bet you shouldn’t miss. ➤ Bet on Kyle Tucker to achieve over 1.5 total bases.

Key Matchups to Consider

Athletics @ Astros

O/U: 8 | Moneyline: HOU -300

The Houston Astros face the Oakland Athletics, with Ken Waldichuk on the mound for the A’s. Waldichuk has had a tough season, and although he’s been a bit unlucky, he still has a high ERA. The Astros boast a potent offense with a projected .449 wOBA, making them a strong candidate to cover the run line.

Framber Valdez starts for the Astros and, despite a recent rough outing, has shown the ability to shut down the Athletics in the past. While the Athletics have a respectable projected wOBA, the Astros have more motivation to win. ➤ Consider betting on Astros -1.5 to cover the run line.

Angels @ Mariners

O/U: 7.5 | Moneyline: SEA -225

The Los Angeles Angels take on the Seattle Mariners, with Reid Detmers pitching for the Angels. Detmers has had a challenging season and has struggled against the Mariners before. He projects to a high SIERA, and the Mariners have been performing well offensively.

On the other side, Logan Gilbert starts for the Mariners, and he’s been consistent throughout the season. The Angels’ offense projects poorly against him. With a significant discrepancy in offense, pitching, and bullpens, the Mariners’ run line at even money is an enticing choice. ➤ Consider betting on Mariners -1.5 for a great value bet.

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