Braves vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for September 11

The excitement is palpable as the Atlanta Braves gear up to take on the Philadelphia Phillies in an MLB showdown scheduled for Monday. If you’re a sports betting enthusiast, this game offers a golden opportunity to explore the dynamic world of odds, moneylines, spreads, and over/unders. So, let’s dive right in and break down everything you need to know about this matchup before you place your bets.

Braves vs Phillies Game Info

Teams: Atlanta Braves (93-49) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (78-64)
Date: Monday, September 11, 2023
Time: 1:05 PM ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Coverage: MLB Network

Braves vs Phillies Odds & Moneyline

All your MLB odds, betting lines, and prop bets are readily available on FanDuel Sportsbook. Here’s a quick overview of the moneyline, spread, and total for this game:

Moneyline: ATL: (-142) | PHI: (+120)
Spread: ATL: -1.5 (+106) | PHI: +1.5 (-128)
Total: 9.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Braves vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers

The pitching duel for this game features:

Braves: Charlie Morton (14-11, 3.32 ERA)
Phillies: Taijuan Walker (15-5, 4.21 ERA)

When Morton takes the mound, his team has historically performed well, boasting a 14-10-0 record against the spread this season. On the flip side, Walker has been a solid choice for the Phillies, with a 17-10-0 ATS record in his 27 starts with a set spread. Keep in mind that the Phillies have often been the underdogs on the moneyline in Walker’s starts this season, but they’ve managed to secure a positive win record.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

According to numberFire’s win probability predictions, the Braves are the favorites to come out on top with a 58.2% chance of winning this matchup.

Moneyline Insights

When it comes to the moneyline, the Phillies find themselves in the underdog role at +120, while the Braves are sitting at -142, playing on the road.

Spread Analysis

The Phillies, as the hosts, are given a +1.5 runline advantage, with odds at +106 to cover the spread. On the other hand, the Braves are favored to win by more than 1.5 runs, with odds at -128.

Over/Under Action

The over/under for this game is set at 9.5. If you’re leaning towards a high-scoring affair, the over is priced at -115, while the under is offered at -105.

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Braves vs Phillies Betting Trends

Let’s take a closer look at some intriguing betting trends:

Braves’ Dominance

The Braves have been favorites in 124 games this season, securing victory 66.9% of the time.
When Atlanta is named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline, they’ve won 72 out of 101 times.
Their games have often gone over the total, hitting the over in 73 out of 137 opportunities.
The Braves boast a 78-59-0 record against the spread in games with a posted line this season.

Phillies’ Underdog Status

The Phillies have faced adversity as underdogs on the moneyline, winning just 43.9% of those games (18-23).
As moneyline underdogs with odds of +120 or longer, Philadelphia has a 5-10 record, winning only 33.3% of their games.
When oddsmakers set an over/under for the Phillies, they’ve combined with opponents to exceed the total 62 times out of 141 games (62-68-11).
The Phillies have covered the spread in 46.8% of their games this season, going 66-75-0 against the spread.

Braves Player Leaders

As we delve into the player statistics, keep an eye on these Braves’ standout performers:

Ronald Acuna Jr.: An OPS of 1.002, a .336 batting average, and top rankings in several major batting categories.
Matt Olson: Leading in hits with 149, a .277 batting average, and impressive slugging numbers.
Ozzie Albies: With 136 hits this season, Albies is a force to be reckoned with.
Austin Riley: Batting .276 with a .338 OBP and 87 RBI, Riley is a key contributor to the Braves’ success.

Phillies Player Leaders

The Phillies have their own set of stars:

Kyle Schwarber: Despite a .198 batting average, Schwarber has slugged .483 and boasts a .347 on-base percentage.
Trea Turner: Hitting .264 with 24 home runs and 41 walks, Turner is a significant offensive presence.
Bryson Stott: Impressive doubles and home run numbers while maintaining a .290 batting average.
Alec Bohm: Contributing with 29 doubles, 16 home runs, and a .277 batting average.

Braves vs. Phillies Head to Head

Here’s a glimpse of their recent encounters:

9/24/2022: 6-3 ATL
6/22/2023: 5-1 ATL
6/20/2023: 4-2 ATL
5/28/2023: 11-4 ATL
5/27/2023: 2-1 PHI
5/26/2023: 6-4 PHI
5/25/2023: 8-5 ATL
9/23/2022: 9-1 PHI
9/22/2022: 1-0 PHI
10/15/2022: 8-3 PHI

The Braves have shown their prowess in recent head-to-head matchups, but every game is a new opportunity for the Phillies to turn the tide.

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