Reds vs Guardians MLB Match Preview: Odds, Predictions, and Insights 8/16

When it comes to high-stakes MLB matchups, the clash between the Cincinnati Reds and the Cleveland Guardians on August 16, 2023, is a must-watch. As betting enthusiasts gear up for this showdown, we’ve got all the vital information to help you make informed decisions. From up-to-the-minute odds to insightful predictions, this article is your guide to mastering the art of intelligent sports betting.

Game Information

Teams: Cincinnati Reds (62-59) vs. Cleveland Guardians (58-62)
Date: Wednesday, August 16, 2023
Time: 6:40 PM ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio
Coverage: BSOH

Odds and Moneyline

For the latest MLB odds, betting lines, and prop bets, you can rely on FanDuel Sportsbook. As of the most recent update at 3:36 AM, the odds for this matchup are as follows:

Moneyline:
- Cincinnati Reds: -158
- Cleveland Guardians: +134
Spread:
- Cincinnati Reds (-1.5): +120
- Cleveland Guardians (+1.5): -144
Total: 9.5 runs
- Over: -112
- Under: -108

Probable Starting Pitchers

The outcome of any baseball game often hinges on the performance of the starting pitchers. In this matchup, we have:

Andrew Abbott (Reds)
- Record: 7-3
- ERA: 2.95
- Track Record: Reds are 9-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- Noteworthy: Abbott’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2.
Noah Syndergaard (Guardians)
- Record: 2-5
- ERA: 6.35
- Track Record: Guardians have a 5-10-0 ATS record in Syndergaard’s 15 starts with a set spread.
- Noteworthy: The Guardians are 1-4 in Syndergaard’s starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Predictions and Picks

When it comes to win probability predictions and picks, we turn to numberFire. According to their analysis:

Prediction: Reds win with a 52.3% probability.

Betting Trends and Insights

Understanding the trends can be the key to successful betting. Here are some insights to consider:

The Reds have emerged victorious in 56.7% of the 30 contests where they were favored this season.
Cincinnati holds a record of 3-3 when favored by -158 or more this year.
The Reds have hit the over in 61 out of their 120 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
Cincinnati boasts a 72-49-0 record against the spread in their 121 games with a posted line this season.
The Guardians have won 37.7% of the games they were the moneyline underdog (20-33).
Cleveland has a 2-11 record (15.4% win rate) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +134 or longer.
In the 117 games oddsmakers set an over/under for the Guardians, they have gone over the total 50 times (50-65-2).
The Guardians have a 62-55-0 ATS record this season.

Player Leaders

For those who dive into player stats, here are some standout performers:

Reds:

Spencer Steer: 117 hits, .353 OBP, .470 slugging percentage, batting .272.
TJ Friedl: .274 batting average, 18 doubles, 4 triples, 10 home runs, .435 slugging, .341 OBP.
Matt McLain: 94 base hits, .360 OBP, .500 slugging percentage.
Tyler Stephenson: .245 batting average, .328 OBP, 39 RBI.

Guardians:

Jose Ramirez: .356 on-base percentage, .282 batting average, .485 slugging.
Steven Kwan: .274 batting average, .383 slugging percentage, .343 OBP.
Andres Gimenez: 21 doubles, 4 triples, 11 home runs, .242 batting average.
Myles Straw: .237 batting average, 15 doubles, 3 triples, 1 home run.

Head-to-Head History

In the most recent encounter on August 15, 2023, the Guardians emerged victorious with a 3-0 score. The Reds were the favorites with a spread of -1.5, a total set at 9.5, and a favorite moneyline of -120.

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