The upcoming clash between the San Diego Padres and the Miami Marlins promises to deliver an exciting showdown in the MLB. As avid sports enthusiasts gear up to place their bets, let’s delve into the comprehensive analysis of this matchup, featuring insights on the odds, moneyline, spread, over/under, starting pitchers, predictions, trends, and player leaders.
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres, with a season record of 60-66, are set to take on the Miami Marlins, who stand at 64-62. The stage for this thrilling encounter is the iconic PETCO Park in San Diego, California. Coverage of the game will be provided by SDPA.
Date: August 22, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego, California
Odds and Betting Lines
For all the betting aficionados out there, FanDuel Sportsbook presents an array of betting lines and prop bets for this match.
- Moneyline: San Diego Padres (-178) | Miami Marlins (+150)
- Spread: San Diego Padres -1.5 (+116) | Miami Marlins +1.5 (-140)
- Total: 7.5 — Over (-114) | Under (-106)
Probable Starting Pitchers
The pitching duel for this matchup features two formidable talents:
- Blake Snell (Padres): 10-8 record, 2.71 ERA
- Jesus Luzardo (Marlins): 8-8 record, 4.13 ERA
Pitching Analysis
In this contest, Blake Snell is set to take the mound for the Padres, while Jesus Luzardo will lead the Marlins’ pitching effort. Snell’s team has shown strength against the spread this season, with a 13-12-0 record in his starts. The Padres have managed to secure victory in 60% of Snell’s starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-8). On the other hand, the Marlins, led by Luzardo, have held their ground with a 13-12-0 record against the spread. Notably, the Marlins have a 7-6 record in Luzardo’s 13 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Predictions and Picks
According to numberFire’s predictions, the Padres are favored to emerge victorious, with a win probability of 55.8%.
Betting Trends and Insights
Padres’ Betting Trends
- The Padres have secured victory in 50 out of 94 games when chosen as favorites this season.
- San Diego boasts a 20-14 record in games where oddsmakers favor them by -178 or more on the moneyline.
- Out of their 123 opportunities, the Padres and their opponents have gone over the total 49 times.
- In games with a line this season, the Padres hold an against-the-spread record of 59-64-0.
Marlins’ Betting Trends
- The Marlins have clinched victory in 43.1% of the games where they were the underdog on the moneyline (28-37 record).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog of +150 or longer, Miami’s win percentage drops to 21.4% (3-11 record).
- In terms of over/under records, the Marlins have combined with opponents to hit the over 56 times this season, resulting in a 56-62-6 record.
Player Leaders
Padres Player Leaders
- Juan Soto: Leading in OBP (.403) and total hits (115) this season, batting .261 with a slugging percentage of .489.
- Fernando Tatis Jr.: Boasting 27 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs, and 38 walks, with a batting average of .262 and slugging .465.
- Ha-Seong Kim: Batting .280 with a .452 slugging percentage and 50 RBI.
- Manny Machado: 24 home runs, 74 RBI, and a batting average of .251.
Marlins Player Leaders
- Luis Arraez: A .401 on-base percentage and .460 slugging percentage, batting .358.
- Jorge Soler: 20 doubles, 32 home runs, 56 walks, batting .241 with a slugging percentage of .505.
- Josh Bell: Batting .245 with 22 doubles, 18 home runs, and 50 walks.
- Bryan De La Cruz: 28 doubles, 16 home runs, 34 walks, batting .257.
Head to Head Record
In recent matchups between the Padres and Marlins:
- 8/21/2023: Padres secured a 6-2 victory.
- 6/1/2023: Padres dominated with a 10-1 win.
- 5/31/2023: Marlins triumphed with a 2-1 score.
- 5/30/2023: Padres claimed a 9-4 victory.
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