NFL Week 6 Betting Trends

NFL Week 6 Betting Trends

Week 6 in the NFL is upon us, and it’s time to dive into some exciting matchups that promise both thrills and betting opportunities. In this article, we’ll take a closer look at the first three games on the schedule and the key trends to consider when placing your bets.

Broncos at Chiefs (Thursday Night Football)

  • Line: DEN +10.5, KCC -10.5
  • Moneyline: DEN +420, KCC -560
  • Over/Under: 51

Get ready for a Thursday Night Football clash as the Kansas City Chiefs take on the Denver Broncos in Week 6. The Broncos, under new head coach Sean Payton, are looking to bounce back from a challenging start to the season, while the Chiefs are riding the momentum of a recent victory over the Vikings.

  • Despite a halftime lead, the Broncos couldn’t secure a victory at home against the Jets in Week 5, leaving them at 1-4 for the season.
  • Russell Wilson, their new signal-caller, has displayed moderate passing efficiency, and the Broncos’ defense currently ranks 32nd in success rate allowed to opponents.

On the other side, the Chiefs received some good news as star tight end Travis Kelce avoided a significant injury scare, sporting a low-ankle sprain. As we gear up for this Thursday night matchup, all eyes will be on Kelce’s status, as the Chiefs are big favorites. Can the Broncos find their footing and pull off an upset, or will the high-flying Chiefs continue their ascent in the AFC?

Ravens at Titans

  • Line: BAL -4, TEN +4
  • Moneyline: BAL -190, TEN +160
  • Over/Under: 40.5

The Baltimore Ravens and the Tennessee Titans are set to light up London’s Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Week 6. Both teams are coming off divisional road losses, making this overseas matchup all the more crucial.

  • In their previous outing, the Ravens let a second-half lead slip through their grasp in Pittsburgh, while the Titans had their chances but couldn’t secure a win against the Colts.
  • The Ravens’ passing efficiency has landed them in the bottom third of the NFL, but hope shines through with Lamar Jackson’s top-15 ranking in success rate among qualified quarterbacks. The potential for big plays looms on the horizon.

On the other side of the ball, Tennessee’s quarterback, Ryan Tannehill, has struggled with a bottom-five success rate, and their defense faced issues against the run in Week 5. With the Ravens boasting a formidable rushing offense, the Titans will need to tighten up their defense to keep their hopes alive in London. Get ready for a clash of strategies and a fierce battle on the international stage in Week 6.


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49ers at Browns

  • Line: SFO -4, CLE +4
  • Moneyline: SFO -200, CLE +168
  • Over/Under: 41.5

After a well-deserved bye week, the Cleveland Browns are gearing up to welcome the San Francisco 49ers in Week 6.

  • Cleveland’s offense leans heavily on its league-best defense, currently ranking 30th in EPA per play offensively. They’ve found success thanks to their formidable defensive unit, leading the league against both the pass and the rush.
  • On the other side of the field, 49ers QB Brock Purdy is making waves, leading the league in EPA per drop back through Week 5. His exceptional performance sets the stage for an intriguing showdown against Cleveland’s stellar defense.

It’s worth noting that the 49ers opened as 2.5-point favorites, indicating that this game promises to be a closely contested battle. Get ready for a clash of strengths and a thrilling matchup in Week 6 as these two teams lock horns.

Commanders at Falcons

  • Line: WAS +2.5, ATL -2.5
  • Moneyline: WAS +118, ATL -138
  • Over/Under: 42

Week 6 brings a showdown between the Washington Commanders and the Atlanta Falcons, both eager to rebound from varying performances.

  • Washington had a rough time against the Bears, conceding 40 points in a lopsided loss.
  • Meanwhile, Atlanta secured a narrow two-point victory over the Texans at home in Week 5.

Washington’s quarterback experiment with Sam Howell has had its ups and downs. Howell’s EPA per drop back has been below average, but he maintains a solid success rate. On the other hand, the Falcons’ offense, led by Desmond Ridder, showed promise with a 329-yard game against Houston. Ridder’s passing success rate is above the NFL average, despite an average yards per attempt (YPA) of 6.88.

As the game approaches, keep a close eye on the running back situation in Atlanta, where Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson shared carries in Week 5. This matchup promises redemption and a shot at victory for both teams in Week 6.

Panthers at Dolphins

  • Line: CAR +14, MIA -14
  • Moneyline: CAR +650, MIA -950
  • Over/Under: 48.5

Week 6 sees the Carolina Panthers facing off against the Miami Dolphins in an intriguing matchup. The Panthers are in search of their first win of the season, but they face a formidable challenge.

  • Carolina remains the NFL’s last remaining winless team through Week 5 and opens as double-digit underdogs against the Dolphins.
  • Rookie quarterback Bryce Young has faced his share of challenges, with a league-low 5.20 yards per attempt average.

On the defensive side, the Panthers find themselves ranked 29th in success rate, indicating room for improvement. On the flip side, the Dolphins boast an offensive powerhouse known for its dual attack. They currently lead the league in offensive success rate and EPA per play, excelling in both passing and rushing EPA per play.

The Dolphins’ offensive speed presents a significant challenge for the Carolina defense. Can the Panthers find redemption and secure their first win of the season against this formidable Miami team? Week 6 holds the answer.


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Vikings at Bears

  • Line: MIN -3, CHI +3
  • Moneyline: MIN -162, CHI +136
  • Over/Under: 47.5

In Week 6, the Minnesota Vikings take on the Chicago Bears in what promises to be an exhilarating matchup. The Vikings have been no strangers to close contests this season, with a 1-4 record in one-score games.

  • Quarterback Kirk Cousins operates below the league average in passing efficiency, making each game a nail-biter for Minnesota fans. However, they are hopeful for the return of star wide receiver Justin Jefferson, who has been dealing with a hamstring injury.

On the other side of the field, the Bears’ offense is on the rise. Justin Fields has put together consecutive four-touchdown games, displaying his potential as the team’s quarterback of the future. DJ Moore has been a standout player for the Bears, with three 100-yard games, including two impressive performances of 131 and 230 yards in the past two weeks.

As the Vikings and Bears clash in the Windy City, football fans can expect an intense battle that could go down to the wire.

Colts at Jaguars

  • Line: IND -4.5, JAC +4.5
  • Moneyline: IND -215, JAC +180
  • Over/Under: 45.5

Week 6 brings a highly anticipated rematch in the AFC South as the Indianapolis Colts take on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Both teams currently sit at a respectable 3-2 in the division, setting the stage for an intense battle.

  • In their Week 1 meeting, the Jaguars pulled off a surprise victory with a 31-21 win over the Colts on Indianapolis turf. Now, the stage is set for a potential season sweep, adding extra spice to this divisional clash.
  • Jacksonville comes into this game boasting a 13th-place ranking in both offensive and defensive success rate, showcasing their well-roundedness. In contrast, the Colts find themselves at 25th and 27th in these respective categories, highlighting the need for improvement on both sides of the ball.

A key storyline to watch is the status of rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson, who suffered a shoulder injury in Week 5. If he’s unable to play, Gardner Minshew has stepped in admirably, showcasing his passing prowess in previous appearances. As these AFC South rivals go head-to-head, fans can expect a thrilling contest with playoff implications on the line.

Saints at Texans

  • Line: NO -2.5, HOU +2.5
  • Moneyline: NO -138, HOU +118
  • Over/Under: 40.5

Week 6 presents an intriguing matchup as the New Orleans Saints face off against the Houston Texans. Despite their promising 3-2 record and a significant +20 point differential, the Saints find themselves sitting in third place in the NFC South, highlighting the competitiveness of the division.

  • The return of Alvin Kamara from suspension has given a much-needed boost to the Saints’ offense. However, they still lag behind, ranking outside the top 20 in EPA per play and success rate. Fortunately for New Orleans, their defense has been a force to be reckoned with, sitting in the top four across various defensive categories.

On the other side of the field, the Texans have shown signs of life as a league-average team, making them genuine contenders in any game they play, including this one where they are slight underdogs at home.

Rookie quarterback CJ Stroud has been a pleasant surprise, ranking in the top 10 in both EPA per play and success rate through Week 5. As these two teams clash, fans can expect an exciting matchup with potential playoff implications on the line.


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Seahawks at Bengals

  • Line: SEA -3, CIN +3
  • Moneyline: SEA -154, CIN +130
  • Over/Under: 46

Week 6 presents a thrilling showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and the Cincinnati Bengals. Both teams come into this game with a lot to prove, and fans can expect a high-stakes battle.

  • The Seahawks, with a 3-1 start and a +20 point differential, had the luxury of an early-season bye to fine-tune their strategies. Their top-12 efficiency metrics on both offense and defense make them formidable contenders in this matchup.
  • The Bengals, on the other hand, caught the NFL’s attention with a dynamic Week 5 performance. Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase stole the spotlight, connecting for three touchdowns and 192 yards. This explosive offensive display has ignited optimism among Bengals fans.

With a total on the rise, indicating high expectations for offensive fireworks, this game promises to be a showcase of talent and a clash of titans. Don’t miss a moment of the action as the Seahawks and Bengals battle for supremacy in Week 6.

Patriots at Raiders

  • Line: NE -2.5, LVR +2.5
  • Moneyline: NE -144, LVR +122
  • Over/Under: 43

In Week 6, the New England Patriots are set to face the Las Vegas Raiders in a matchup that promises to be a test of resilience for both teams.

  • The Patriots’ offense has hit a rough patch, ranking last in both passing and rushing EPA per play. Rookie quarterback Mac Jones, while showing promise, currently boasts the second-worst EPA per drop back among qualified QBs. New England’s struggles on the offensive end have left fans and analysts alike wondering if they can find a way to turn their season around.
  • The Raiders, on the other hand, are hosting the Patriots on a short week following their Monday Night Football showdown. Las Vegas understands the opportunity at handβ€”to exploit New England’s offensive woes and secure a much-needed victory. In a game that could very well hinge on defensive prowess, the Raiders may not need a high-scoring affair to come out on top.

As both teams seek redemption and a chance to right their respective ships, Week 6 promises an intriguing battle on the gridiron. Will the Patriots find their offensive rhythm, or will the Raiders’ defense prove too tough a challenge? Football fans won’t want to miss this showdown.


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Lions at Buccaneers

  • Line: DET +3, TB -3
  • Moneyline: DET +142, TB -168
  • Over/Under: 46

In Week 6, the Detroit Lions are poised to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in what promises to be a thrilling matchup between two resurgent teams.

  • The Lions have been turning heads with their impressive 4-1 start to the season, powered by a high-octane offense that has put up an astonishing 76 points in their last two games. Quarterback Jared Goff has been instrumental in this offensive surge, boasting top-eight marks in both EPA per drop back and success rate among quarterbacks.
  • On the flip side, the Buccaneers are coming off a well-timed bye week in Week 5. This extra time off could provide them with the opportunity to craft strategies to counter the Lions’ offensive prowess and formulate a game plan that capitalizes on their own strengths.

As these two resurgent forces collide, football fans can expect an action-packed contest that could very well shape the trajectory of both teams’ seasons. Will the Lions continue their scoring spree, or will the Buccaneers’ defense prove to be a formidable obstacle? Week 6 is sure to deliver answers on the gridiron.

Cardinals at Rams

  • Line: ARI +6, LAR -6
  • Moneyline: ARI +220, LAR -270
  • Over/Under: 46.5

In Week 6, the Arizona Cardinals will lock horns with their NFC West rivals, the Los Angeles Rams, in a highly anticipated showdown.

  • Despite a 1-4 record, the Cardinals have shown resilience and competitiveness, reflected in their narrow point differential of -28. One area where they have excelled is their rushing offense, which ranks among the top two in the NFL in terms of efficiency. With an impressive ground game, the Cardinals have the potential to make life difficult for the Rams’ defense.
  • On the other side of the field, the Rams have been making waves with their dynamic offensive duo of Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. This tandem has provided depth and options for star quarterback Matthew Stafford, making the Rams a formidable offensive force.

As these two NFC West powerhouses clash, football enthusiasts can expect a thrilling matchup that could have significant implications for the divisional race. Week 6 is set to deliver high-stakes football at its finest.


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Eagles at Jets

  • Line: PHI -6, NYJ +6
  • Moneyline: PHI -270, NYJ +220
  • Over/Under: 42

In Week 6, the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles will go head-to-head with the New York Jets, a team that secured a surprising road win in Denver in Week 5. The clash between these two teams promises to be a compelling matchup.

  • The Eagles come into this game with a perfect 5-0 record, showcasing their prowess on both sides of the ball. Their balanced attack ranks in the top 10 in both passing and rushing EPA per play, making them a formidable force. On the defensive front, the Eagles shine in rush defense, boasting a top-five ranking. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been putting up solid numbers but aims to increase his tally of multi-touchdown games as a passer.
  • On the other side of the field, the New York Jets have struggled offensively, currently ranking 31st in success rate. However, there is a glimmer of hope with the emergence of running back Breece Hall, who had a breakout game in Week 5, adding a dynamic element to the Jets’ offense.

As these two teams with contrasting fortunes collide, football fans can anticipate a matchup that could provide some intriguing storylines. Will the Eagles maintain their undefeated streak, or can the Jets pull off another surprise victory? Week 6 is sure to deliver its fair share of excitement and drama on the gridiron.

Giants at Bills (SNF)

  • Line: NYG +14.5, BUF -14.5
  • Moneyline: NYG +660, BUF -1000
  • Over/Under: 46

Sunday Night Football is set to feature an intriguing matchup between the New York Giants and the Buffalo Bills, and it’s hard to ignore the double-digit spread in this showdown. The Bills, coming off an unexpected Week 5 loss to the Jaguars in London, are determined to bounce back and reaffirm their dominance.

  • Quarterback Josh Allen had a standout performance, recording his highest passing yardage of the season with an impressive 359 yards. Allen’s connection with star receiver Stefon Diggs continues to shine, with Diggs amassing 100-plus receiving yards in four out of five games. Their formidable partnership adds a layer of unpredictability to the Bills’ offensive arsenal.
  • On the flip side, the struggling New York Giants find themselves in a challenging position. With a league-worst point differential of -91, they face an uphill battle in this Sunday Night Football showcase. However, as history has shown, underdog teams can sometimes pull off the most unexpected victories.

This matchup promises to be a compelling clash of fortunes, with the Bills seeking redemption and the Giants aiming to defy the odds. Sunday Night Football fans can expect a game filled with excitement, big plays, and perhaps a surprise or two as these two teams take center stage under the prime-time lights.

Cowboys at Chargers (MNF)

  • Line: DAL -2.5, LAC +2.5
  • Moneyline: DAL -136, LAC +116
  • Over/Under: 47.5

Monday Night Football presents a thrilling matchup between the Dallas Cowboys and the Los Angeles Chargers, and fans can expect a clash that’s sure to keep them on the edge of their seats.

  • The Cowboys are determined to rebound from a challenging Week 5 loss against the San Francisco 49ers. Quarterback Dak Prescott, after a challenging prime-time performance, looks to regain his rhythm and lead the Cowboys to victory. Dallas fans will be hoping for a strong showing from their star signal-caller.
  • On the other side, the Chargers are coming off a bye week, which gives them some extra preparation time before hosting the Cowboys. Known for their fantasy-friendly offense, the Chargers currently rank fourth in EPA (Expected Points Added) offensively. They have the ability to put up big numbers, both through the air and on the ground, making them a formidable force in any game.

A player to keep an eye on in this matchup is rookie Quentin Johnston. With the Chargers potentially looking to diversify their offensive weapons, Johnston could play a pivotal role and make an impact on Monday night.

Monday Night Football enthusiasts can look forward to an electrifying game filled with explosive plays, strategic maneuvers, and the excitement that only primetime football can deliver.

That wraps up our NFL Week 6 Betting Trends coverage. As the week unfolds, keep an eye on these matchups and enjoy the thrilling action on the gridiron. Remember to bet responsibly and savor the excitement of NFL football.

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