Welcome to our NBA DFS Top Value Plays article for Tuesday 2/27/24. In the dynamic world of NBA DFS, finding top value plays is as crucial as identifying the night’s star performers. Today’s slate offers a mix of rising talents and seasoned players stepping into expanded roles, presenting unique opportunities for DFS success. Let’s explore the top 5 DFS value plays, considering their recent performances, matchups, and the impact of team injury situations.
1. Draymond Green (PF/C – GSW)
- Price: $6,400 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel
- Matchup: vs. Washington Wizards
- Key Insights:
- Consistent Performer: Green has hit at least 27 DK points in 14 of his last 16 games, with a 34-point average in that span.
- Matchup Advantage: Faces a Wizards team that’s third-worst in fantasy points allowed to opposing power forwards, setting up Green for a potentially big night.
- Historical Success: Dropped 47 DK points against the Wizards last year, indicating his upside in this matchup.
2. Keyonte George (PG/SG – UTA)
- Price: $5,700 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel
- Matchup: vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Key Insights:
- Expanded Role: Now starting and averaging 30 minutes a game, George has shown his value with a 28-point average over 27 starts.
- Recent Form: Averaging 33 DK points across his last four games, suggesting his price is undervalued given his production.
- Favorable Opposition: Atlanta’s defense ranks near the bottom in both points allowed and defensive efficiency.
3. Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG/SF – ATL)
- Price: $6,300 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel
- Matchup: vs. Utah Jazz
- Key Insights:
- Increased Opportunity: With Trae Young out, Bogdanovic’s role expands, evident in his scoring at least 27 DK points in eight of nine starts this year.
- Strong Form: Averaging 32 DK points in his last 13 outings, well above his current pricing.
- Weak Opponent Defense: Utah’s defensive struggles make Bogdanovic an even more attractive option.
4. Alex Caruso (PG/SG – CHI)
- Price: $5,200 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel
- Matchup: vs. Detroit Pistons
- Key Insights:
- Role Expansion: Filling in for Zach LaVine, Caruso has upped his production to nearly 30 DK points per game as a starter.
- Solid Floor: His performance provides a reliable floor, particularly valuable against the Pistons’ lackluster defense.
- Previous Success: Had 24 DK points in just 20 minutes against Detroit earlier, hinting at significant upside in a larger role.
5. Tyus Jones (PG – WAS) & Tre Jones (PG – SAS)
- Tyus Jones Price: $6,200 DraftKings, $7,100 FanDuel
- Recent Performance: Averaging 34 DK points over his last 21 games, Jones is undervalued at his current price.
- Matchup Insight: His success against the Warriors in past games (30, 38, and 51 DK points) suggests high potential.
- Tre Jones Price: $5,100 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel
- Underpriced: Averaging 31 DK points as San Antonio’s starting PG, yet remains priced below $6K.
- Consistency & Upside: Rarely scoring below 26 fantasy points since becoming a starter and previously scored 34 DK points against Minnesota.
Important DFS Strategies:
- Monitor Injuries and Starting Lineups: Late scratches and starting lineup changes can significantly impact a player’s value and role.
- Consider Game Pace and Total Points: Higher-paced games with higher expected totals often lead to more fantasy points.
- Value vs. Upside: Balancing safe value plays with potential high-upside picks is key to DFS success.
By incorporating these value plays into your DFS lineup, you’re positioned to maximize production relative to salary, allowing for strategic allocation of funds to secure those high-priced stars or additional value finds.
