NBA Best Bets Tuesday 1/14/25
Welcome to today’s NBA Best Bets for Tuesday 1/14/25! This slate is packed with exciting matchups, key injuries, and plenty of value to uncover. I’ve done the homework to highlight the sharpest player props based on matchup data, recent performance trends, and implied totals.
If you’re looking to boost your bankroll, these bets are the best places to start. Let’s dive in!
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Prop Projections | Prizepicks Projections | Underdog Projections
Tyrese Maxey (PHI) Under 3.5 Three-Pointers Made
- Suggested Bet: Under 3.5 3PM
- Odds: -115 (Available on DraftKings, BetMGM)
Why This Bet? Maxey faces a tough Oklahoma City defense that excels at limiting three-point shooting. The Thunder allow the second-fewest three-pointers to opposing teams and are #1 against shooting guards, surrendering just 3.4 three-pointers per game. Maxey’s recent data supports this under:
- Hit rate: 80% over his last 10 games (averaging 3.2 3PM/game).
- Against OKC earlier this season: 3-for-9 from deep, staying under this line.
Despite high volume (9.6 attempts/game in his last 10), Maxey’s efficiency (34% from three) won’t overcome OKC’s elite perimeter defense. This under is solid value.
Coby White (CHI) Over 22.5 Points + Assists
- Suggested Bet: Over 22.5 P+A
- Odds: -108 (FanDuel)
Why This Bet? Coby White is in a prime spot against a New Orleans team that struggles to defend point guards:
- Bottom 3 vs. PGs in both points and assists allowed.
- White has hit this over in 7 of his last 10 games, averaging 24.9 P+A.
- In his last game, he narrowly missed the over due to limited minutes in a blowout. When playing his usual 33 minutes, White consistently clears this line.
The Pelicans’ poor defensive metrics combined with White’s steady role as a scorer and playmaker make this a strong bet.
Nikola Vucevic (CHI) Over 28.5 Points + Rebounds
- Suggested Bet: Over 28.5 P+R
- Odds: -105 (BetMGM)
Why This Bet? Vucevic dominates in matchups against weak rebounding teams, and New Orleans is the worst rebounding team in the league vs. centers (14.2 RPG allowed). His recent performances back up this play:
- Hit rate: 74% this season (28/38 games).
- Against New Orleans this season: 21 points and 11 rebounds.
With rumors of a potential trade boosting his motivation and the Pelicans ranking 22nd in points allowed to centers, Vucevic is poised for a big game.
De’Aaron Fox (SAC) Over 25.5 Points
- Suggested Bet: Over 25.5 Points
- Odds: -115 (FanDuel)
Why This Bet? Fox thrives in high-paced matchups, and Milwaukee is the worst team vs. point guards in points allowed (27.2 PPG). Key factors:
- Hit rate: 80% over his last 10 games, averaging 28.1 PPG.
- Against Milwaukee last season: Averaged 30.5 PPG in two games.
With Damian Lillard providing no resistance defensively, Fox should have no trouble exploiting this matchup.
Michael Porter Jr. (DEN) Over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
- Suggested Bet: Over 22.5 PRA
- Odds: -125 (DraftKings)
Why This Bet? Porter Jr. has been a model of consistency in this category:
- Hit rate: 90% over his last 10 games, averaging 27.6 PRA.
- Against Dallas this season: Cleared this line in 2 of 3 games.
Porter’s scoring, rebounding, and occasional playmaking all benefit from Dallas’ weak defense against wings. Look for him to bounce back after a rare off-night in their last meeting.
Nikola Jokic (DEN) Over 23.5 Rebounds + Assists
- Suggested Bet: Over 23.5 R+A
- Odds: -105 (DraftKings)
Why This Bet? Jokic continues to dominate in this category:
- Hit rate: 60% over his last 10 games, including 5 of his last 6.
- Against Dallas this season: Cleared this line in all 3 matchups, averaging 28 R+A.
Jokic had 27 rebound chances and 22 potential assists in their last meeting, demonstrating ample opportunity to crush this line again.
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