NBA Best Bets Friday 12/27/24
Welcome to today’s NBA Best Bets breakdown! With a loaded slate of eight games, we’ll dig into the top props and matchups, using key insights and stats to explain why each suggested bet is worth considering. Whether you’re looking for safe plays or high-value spots, this article has you covered. Let’s dive in and highlight the best bets for tonight’s action!
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Prop Projections | Prizepicks Projections | Underdog Projections
Jaylen Brunson (NYK) Over 29.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Game: Orlando Magic vs. New York Knicks | Time: 7:00 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Jaylen Brunson Over 29.5 PRA
Why This Bet?
Brunson has been on a tear, averaging 39.8 PRA in his last nine road games, with an 89% hit rate on this line during that span. While Orlando boasts one of the league’s top defenses (5th in defensive efficiency), they struggle against opposing point guards, ranking 21st in points allowed to the position. Brunson’s usage and ability to fill the stat sheet give him a high floor in this matchup, even against a tough defense.
Pascal Siakam (IND) Over 19.5 Points + Assists
Game: Indiana Pacers vs. Boston Celtics | Time: 7:30 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 PA
Why This Bet?
Siakam thrives against the Celtics. In his last ten matchups against Boston, he’s averaged 27.1 PA and cleared this line in every game. With Boston ranking 27th in points allowed and 24th in assists allowed to opposing power forwards, Siakam’s versatility makes him an excellent bet. He’s also hit this prop in 81% of games this season, showcasing consistency. Expect him to step up again in a favorable spot.
Ja Morant (MEM) Over 29.5 Points + Assists
Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans | Time: 8:00 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Ja Morant Over 29.5 PA
Why This Bet?
The Pelicans rank dead last (30th) in points and assists allowed to opposing point guards, making this a dream matchup for Morant. While his overall hit rate on this prop is just 47% this season, he’s cashed in each of his last three games against New Orleans, averaging a whopping 38 PA. With Marcus Smart and other key Grizzlies sidelined, Morant should see increased minutes and usage in what promises to be a fast-paced game.
Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs. New Orleans Pelicans | Time: 8:00 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 19.5 PRA
Why This Bet?
Jackson Jr. is poised to dominate in this matchup, where New Orleans struggles to defend versatile big men. With the Pelicans ranked 28th in rebounding percentage and 27th in opponent field goal percentage near the rim, Jackson’s ability to contribute across scoring, rebounding, and assists makes him a strong bet. Memphis will rely on his production to keep pace in this high-scoring matchup.
Jared Allen (CLE) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Denver Nuggets | Time: 9:00 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Jared Allen Over 19.5 PRA
Why This Bet?
Allen has a 70% hit rate on this line this season and has dominated Denver in their recent meetings, averaging 26 PRA in his last three games against them. Denver struggles against opposing centers, ranking 28th in rebounds allowed and 20th in points allowed to the position. With Allen’s ability to impact the game on both ends of the floor, he’s a solid play in this matchup.
Tyus Jones (PHX) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Game: Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks | Time: 9:00 PM ET
Suggested Bet: Tyus Jones Over 19.5 PRA
Why This Bet?
With Devin Booker and other key players out, Jones has taken on a larger role for Phoenix, averaging 22.4 PRA over his last ten games with a 70% hit rate on this line. Dallas ranks just 20th in rebounds allowed and is missing Luka Dončić, creating an opportunity for Jones to see increased usage and minutes. This matchup sets up well for Jones to clear this prop, especially given the Suns’ injury situation.
Final Thoughts
Tonight’s NBA slate offers a mix of intriguing props across different matchups, from high-paced shootouts like Memphis vs. New Orleans to slower, defensive battles like New York vs. Orlando. Each of these suggested bets is backed by strong data and matchup insights, giving you the tools to make informed betting decisions.
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Good luck tonight, and let’s cash those tickets!
