Welcome to our NBA Best Bets article for Thursday 2/29/24. As we dive into Thursday’s NBA slate, there are several standout bets that catch the eye for savvy bettors. With critical matchups and players stepping up in the absence of their star teammates, let’s explore where the value lies in tonight’s games.
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Dejounte Murray (Atlanta Hawks) – Over 29.5 Points + Assists -125 at MGM
- Why It’s a Good Bet:
- In the absence of Trae Young, Murray’s role in the Hawks’ offense becomes even more pivotal. His potential for assists skyrockets, and with an average of 18-20 field goal attempts, the volume is there for him to easily cover this line.
- Historically, Murray thrives without Young, hitting this over in 10 of 14 games across the last two seasons.
- The tight spread and high total signal a competitive game, likely ensuring high minutes for Murray, further bolstering his chance to hit the over.
Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) – Triple Double +130 at DraftKings
- Bet Details: Wager 0.4u to win 1u
- Why It’s a Good Bet:
- Jokic is the centerpiece of the Nuggets’ offense and frequently flirts with triple-double numbers. Given the odds and his consistent performance, betting on him to achieve a triple-double offers great value.
Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) – Over 14.5 Rebounds + Assists -110 at DraftKings
- Why It’s a Good Bet:
- Wembanyama has been a statistical marvel, hitting this over in 9 of the last 10 games where he played 30+ minutes.
- Post-All-Star break, his minutes have been solid, playing 30+ in three of four games.
- Against OKC this season, he’s already proven capable of surpassing this line, making it a solid bet.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Oklahoma City Thunder) – Over 30.5 Points -120 at DraftKings (2 unit play)
- Why It’s a Strong Bet:
- SGA’s scoring prowess has been on full display, exceeding 31 points in 13 of the last 15 Thunder wins.
- Given OKC’s strong form and the Spurs’ struggles, this game presents a prime opportunity for Gilgeous-Alexander to dominate.
- His performance remains stellar in blowout victories, hitting this over 72% of the time in games won by 10+ points.
- With the Thunder eyeing the top seed in the West, expect SGA to play aggressively, making this a standout bet for the night.
Strategic Considerations:
- Murray’s bet is particularly appealing for its high likelihood of hitting based on past performances and game dynamics.
- Betting on a Jokic triple-double is almost always worth considering given his all-around contributions to the Nuggets.
- Wembanyama’s consistency in hitting over on rebounds + assists makes his bet a solid choice, especially given his recent form and history against OKC.
- Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring bet is the highlight of the night, deserving a double unit play considering both his form and the Thunder’s ambitions.
As we gear up for an exciting night of NBA action, these bets stand out for their strong value and potential return.
Good luck, and bet wisely!
