Welcome to our MNF Week 10 Betting Preview! We’ve got a thrilling matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Denver Broncos on the horizon. The game is set for Monday night, November 13th, and we’re here to break it down for you.
Bills vs. Broncos: Betting Overview
- Date: November 13th
- Total Points: 47.5
- Spread: Bills -7
The Buffalo Bills, led by star quarterback Josh Allen, are the favorites in this matchup with a 7-point spread. The total points over/under is set at 47.5, indicating a potentially high-scoring affair. But how should you approach this game from a betting perspective? Let’s dive into the details.
Analyzing the Spread
The spread initially opened at 7.5 points but has since shifted to 7 points in favor of the Bills. This movement might make you wonder if Denver is gaining momentum, but don’t be too quick to jump on that train. Historically, Buffalo has been solid at home, often winning by seven points or more when Josh Allen is in the driver’s seat. So, with the spread now at 7 points, it might be a good opportunity to back the Bills at home.
The Total Points – Over or Under?
When it comes to the total points in this game, we’re leaning towards the over at 47.5. Here’s why: Buffalo’s offense has been known to light up the scoreboard, and if they can get an early lead, they may continue to press their advantage. Denver, on the other hand, will likely have to play catch-up, which could lead to a more open game with higher scoring opportunities. Keep in mind that prime-time games have favored the under this season, but this matchup feels different, and we’re betting on it.
Player Props – Where’s the Value?
Now, let’s talk player props. There are a few players worth considering for your betting slip:
- Dalton Knox: With Dawson Knox on the injured reserve, Dalton Knox has stepped up as a reliable target for Josh Allen. Look for him to hit the over on receptions, currently set at 5.5.
- Khil Shakir: Another player benefitting from Knox’s absence is Khil Shakir. He has been getting more involved in the passing game, and his over on receptions at 3.5, with plus money, is intriguing.
- Gabe Davis: For those seeking higher upside, Gabe Davis is a boom-or-bust option. Consider checking out the alternate receiving yardage markets for Davis, as his big-play potential could pay off handsomely.
- Courtland Sutton and Jerry Judy: On the Denver side, Courtland Sutton and Jerry Judy are the primary receiving threats. Sutton’s receiving yardage at 45.5 and Judy’s at 52.5 are both appealing, given the likely passing volume if Denver is playing catch-up.
Touchdown Props
In the touchdown market, consider these options:
- Gabe Davis: At +220 for anytime touchdown, Davis offers value as a potential red-zone target for Josh Allen.
- Dalton Knox: Taking a shot at Knox scoring the first touchdown of the game at 11-to-1 odds can be a lucrative move, considering his recent performances.
- Josh Allen: For those who believe in a dominant Bills display, Josh Allen’s alternate markets for three or more passing touchdowns at +240 and four or more at +870 could yield big returns.
First-Half Spread
Lastly, we recommend exploring the first-half spread market. If you believe the Bills will come out firing on all cylinders, taking Buffalo -4.5 in the first half at -105 odds is an enticing option.
Remember to have a look at other markets and odds as well, and make use of the various betting tools and resources available to help you make informed decisions.
Good luck with your bets on this exciting Monday Night Football clash between the Bills and the Broncos! And don’t forget, if you’re looking for advanced tools and insights for your sports betting, don’t miss our Free 7-Day Trial at Oddsjam.
FAQ
Q: What is the First-Half Spread for Buffalo in this game?
- A: The first-half spread for Buffalo is -4.5 at -105 odds.
Q: Who are the key players to watch in the Denver Broncos’ passing game?
- A: Keep an eye on Courtland Sutton and Jerry Judy as the primary receiving threats for the Denver Broncos.
Q: Why do you recommend taking the over on total points in this game?
- A: We expect both teams to put up points, with Buffalo’s high-powered offense and Denver potentially playing catch-up. This game has the potential for a higher score, making the over at 47.5 points an appealing bet.
