MLB Top Stacks 5/13/24

In today’s MLB DFS slate, identifying the top stacks is crucial for outmaneuvering the competition and maximizing point potential. We’re zeroing in on matchups where top-tier offenses face off against vulnerable pitchers, providing a detailed analysis to help you craft winning lineups.

Atlanta Braves vs. Reynaldo Lopez (R)

• Matchup Insight:
  • Reynaldo Lopez of the Chicago Cubs has shown vulnerabilities against left-handed batters with a .127 ISO and a .330 xwOBA in 46.1 innings pitched. His overall strikeout rate of 25.9% doesn’t quite mitigate his high walk rate of 17.4% against lefties, making him an exploitable target in today’s matchup.
• Why Stack the Braves:
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. (OF, $6300) is the key piece, boasting a .446 xwOBA and .216 ISO against right-handed pitching.
  • Matt Olson (1B, $5200) shows great power potential with a .319 expected home run rate and a .341 xwOBA.
  • Marcell Ozuna (OF, $5400) adds depth to the stack with a .420 xwOBA and an impressive .341 ISO, indicating significant home run potential.
• Key Stats:
  • The Braves’ top hitters against righties combine for high on-base potential and slugging, with several players featuring ISO values well over .200 and xwOBAs approaching or exceeding .350.

2. Boston Red Sox vs. Zach Eflin (R)

• Matchup Insight:
  • Zach Eflin’s split against lefties includes a .270 xwOBA and a .134 ISO over 113 innings, suggesting he handles them decently. However, his performance against right-handers dips with a .281 xwOBA and a .163 ISO in 112.2 innings, which can be targeted.
• Why Stack the Red Sox:
  • Rafael Devers (3B, $5000) stands out with a .401 xwOBA and a .238 ISO against righties, making him a prime candidate for high DFS output.
  • Jarren Duran (OF, $4700) and Wilyer Abreu (OF, $4000) offer speed and on-base skills, enhancing the stack’s point-scoring ability through runs scored and stolen bases.
• Key Stats:
  • Boston’s lineup shows a balanced mix of contact and power against right-handed pitching, highlighted by several players with xwOBAs above .320.

3. New York Mets vs. Cristopher Sanchez (L)

• Matchup Insight:
  • Cristopher Sanchez struggles notably against right-handed batters, with a .325 xwOBA and a .177 ISO across 106 innings. His high strikeout rate against lefties drops significantly when facing righties.
• Why Stack the Mets:
  • Pete Alonso (1B, $4800) has a towering .394 xwOBA and .308 ISO, making him a prime power threat in this matchup.
  • Francisco Lindor (SS, $4700) brings a solid mix of power (.367 xwOBA, .278 ISO) and consistency to the stack.
• Key Stats:
  • The Mets’ core hitters against left-handers present a high-ceiling opportunity for DFS, especially given Sanchez’s susceptibility to righties.

Under the Radar Stack: Chicago Cubs vs. Spencer Arrighetti (R)

• Matchup Insight:
  • Rookie Spencer Arrighetti has limited major league exposure but has shown weaknesses with a .457 xwOBA and a staggering .308 ISO allowed in just 7.2 innings against right-handers.
• Why Stack the Cubs:
  • Seiya Suzuki (OF, $4800) and Cody Bellinger (OF, $4900) offer robust on-base and slugging metrics (.345 xwOBA for Suzuki and .330 for Bellinger), making them less obvious but potent choices for today’s games.
• Key Stats:
  • With Arrighetti’s small sample size but evident struggles, targeting a Cubs stack provides a strategic advantage by exploiting potential early-game jitters and inconsistencies.

This breakdown utilizes today’s specific matchups and statistical insights to maximize potential in DFS contests, focusing on key individual performances and advantageous matchups.