Diving into today’s MLB DFS slate, we’re spotlighting top hitters based on their current form, opposing pitcher matchups, and underlying statistics. Here’s a breakdown of who to consider for your DFS lineups, including some under-the-radar picks that could provide value.
Early Slate Top Hitters
1. Mike Trout (OF, Los Angeles Angels)
- Matchup: Against Dean Kremer (RHP, Orioles)
- Key Stats: .407 xwOBA, .295 ISO against RHP
- Why He’s a Top Play: Trout’s impressive power and ability to get on base make him a prime candidate to exploit Kremer, who has a .381 xwOBA against righties.
- DFS Insight: Expect high ownership but worthwhile for his ceiling in all formats.
2. Pete Alonso (1B, New York Mets)
- Matchup: Facing Blake Snell (LHP, Giants)
- Key Stats: .320 ISO, .395 xwOBA against LHP
- Why He’s a Top Play: Alonso’s power is well-suited to take advantage of Snell’s tendency to give up hits and walks to right-handers.
- DFS Insight: Snell’s high strikeout rate is a risk, but Alonso’s homer potential makes him a strong GPP play.
Under the Radar:
- Starling Marte (OF, New York Mets)
- Matchup: Against Blake Snell
- Key Stats: .362 xwOBA against LHP
- Why He’s a Top Pick: Marte offers high-speed and solid hitting against lefties, which could exploit Snell’s weaker control.
Turbo Slate Top Hitters
1. Mookie Betts (2B/SS, Los Angeles Dodgers)
- Matchup: Against Jake Irvin (RHP, Nationals)
- Key Stats: .400 xwOBA, .247 ISO against RHP
- Why He’s a Top Play: Betts’s consistent power and on-base skills make him especially dangerous against Irvin, who struggles with right-handed batters.
- DFS Insight: Betts is likely to be a popular choice, deserving a spot in both cash and GPP lineups for his reliable production.
2. Freddie Freeman (1B, Los Angeles Dodgers)
- Matchup: Against Jake Irvin
- Key Stats: .414 xwOBA against RHP
- Why He’s a Top Play: Freeman’s ability to hit for both power and average should come into play against Irvin’s generous pitching to lefties.
- DFS Insight: Ideal for cash games due to his high floor and good matchup.
3. Jonathan India (2B, Cincinnati Reds)
- Matchup: Facing Spencer Turnbull (RHP, Phillies)
- Key Stats: .344 xwOBA, good splits against RHP
- Why He’s a Top Play: India can leverage Turnbull’s vulnerability to righties (.353 xwOBA allowed) and his ability to generate walks and hits.
- DFS Insight: A solid pick in all formats, particularly if leading off to maximize plate appearances.
Under the Radar:
- Joey Votto (1B, Cincinnati Reds)
- Matchup: Against Spencer Turnbull
- Key Stats: Veteran with strong OBP skills, particularly effective against pitchers who struggle with control.
- Why He’s a Top Pick: Votto’s seasoned approach at the plate makes him a sneaky play to capitalize on Turnbull’s high xwOBA allowed to left-handers.
DFS Strategy Tips:
- Look for Matchup Advantages: Focus on hitters with strong splits against the opposing pitcher’s weaknesses.
- Consider Park Factors: Some ballparks enhance hitting stats—factor this into your selections.
- Diversify in GPPs: While it’s tempting to go with popular picks, sometimes less obvious choices can differentiate your lineup and lead to higher rewards.
This analysis provides a focused look at today’s top MLB hitters, offering a strategic edge in your DFS lineup decisions. Each recommended player comes with statistical backing to help you understand their potential impact in today’s games.
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