Today’s MLB DFS slate offers several intriguing matchups for stacking offenses. We’ll break down the top three DFS stacks for the day and highlight one under-the-radar stack. We’ll analyze each matchup, using statistics to explain why these offenses are primed for big performances.
Top 3 DFS Stacks
1. Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kyle Bradish (R) – Orioles
Insights:
- Kyle Bradish (R):
- vL: 26.5% K%, 8.5% BB%, .108 ISO
- vR: 24.6% K%, 5.2% BB%, .118 ISO
- L6 Games: Improved strikeout rates, especially against lefties
Blue Jays Hitters:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R): .182 ISO, .381 wOBA vs. RHP
- George Springer (R): .137 ISO, .333 wOBA vs. RHP
- Bo Bichette (R): .151 ISO, .340 wOBA vs. RHP
- Daulton Varsho (L): .199 ISO, .296 wOBA vs. RHP
Key Points:
- Bradish has shown vulnerability against both sides, despite his improved recent performance.
- The Blue Jays’ lineup has power and low strikeout rates, making them a prime stack against Bradish.
- Camden Yards is a hitter-friendly park, further boosting their upside.
2. San Diego Padres vs. Austin Gomber (L) – Rockies
Insights:
- Austin Gomber (L):
- vL: 14.4% K%, 6.0% BB%, .270 ISO
- vR: 15.0% K%, 7.7% BB%, .193 ISO
- L6 Games: High ISO allowed, struggling to limit damage
Padres Hitters:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (R): .195 ISO, .407 wOBA vs. LHP
- Manny Machado (R): .210 ISO, .360 wOBA vs. LHP
- Xander Bogaerts (R): .162 ISO, .329 wOBA vs. LHP
- Luis Campusano (R): .194 ISO, .316 wOBA vs. LHP
Key Points:
- Gomber has struggled significantly against both lefties and righties, with high ISO numbers.
- The Padres’ lineup is loaded with right-handed power hitters who excel against lefties.
- Petco Park is generally pitcher-friendly, but the Padres’ matchup against Gomber’s struggles outweighs this.
3. Chicago White Sox vs. Patrick Corbin (L) – Nationals
Insights:
- Patrick Corbin (L):
- vL: 16.8% K%, 10.0% BB%, .151 ISO
- vR: 15.2% K%, 6.8% BB%, .199 ISO
- L6 Games: High ISO and wOBA against both sides
White Sox Hitters:
- Tommy Pham (R): .226 ISO, .391 wOBA vs. LHP
- Andrew Vaughn (R): .135 ISO, .311 wOBA vs. LHP
- Eloy Jimenez (R): .135 ISO, .317 wOBA vs. LHP
- Paul DeJong (R): .164 ISO, .293 wOBA vs. LHP
Key Points:
- Corbin has struggled mightily against right-handed hitters, allowing high ISO and wOBA.
- The White Sox have several right-handed hitters who can take advantage of Corbin’s weaknesses.
- Guaranteed Rate Field is neutral but can be hitter-friendly with favorable conditions.
Under the Radar Stack
Miami Marlins vs. Casey Mize (R) – Tigers
Insights:
- Casey Mize (R):
- vL: 15.2% K%, 7.6% BB%, .097 ISO
- vR: 16.9% K%, 3.6% BB%, .087 ISO
- L6 Games: Low strikeout rates, vulnerable to left-handed power
Marlins Hitters:
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L): .227 ISO, .334 wOBA vs. RHP
- Bryan De La Cruz (R): .184 ISO, .331 wOBA vs. RHP
- Josh Bell (S): .142 ISO, .324 wOBA vs. RHP
- Jesus Sanchez (L): .185 ISO, .360 wOBA vs. RHP
Key Points:
- Mize has low strikeout rates and can struggle against left-handed hitters.
- The Marlins have a mix of power from both sides of the plate.
- This stack is under the radar but has the potential for a high upside given Mize’s vulnerabilities.
Conclusion
Today’s MLB DFS slate offers some promising stack opportunities. The Blue Jays, Padres, and White Sox are top options based on their matchups against struggling pitchers. For those looking for a sneaky stack, the Marlins present a compelling case against Casey Mize. Use these insights to build your lineups and maximize your DFS potential. Good luck!
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