Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Lean: Phillies Team Total Over 4.5

The Phillies have struggled offensively in recent games, but today’s matchup against Taj Bradley should give them a chance to bounce back. Bradley is a high-velocity pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball, and the Phillies have been solid against that pitch type this season. They’ve had a couple of low-scoring games, but with the quality of bats in this lineup, a breakout is due.

• Key Points:
  • Phillies face a fastball-heavy pitcher in Taj Bradley.
  • The Phillies’ offense is due for a bounce-back after two low-scoring games.
  • Bradley has struggled in recent outings, making this a favorable spot for Philadelphia’s bats.

Total Lean: Over 7.5

Both teams have the potential to put up runs today, and while Ranger Suárez has been steady for the Phillies, Atlanta’s potent lineup makes the over a solid lean in this spot.

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

Lean: Yankees Moneyline

Seth Lugo takes the mound for the Yankees, and while he’s had some inconsistent outings this season, he’s coming off back-to-back strong starts. Kansas City has struggled offensively, and their pitching rotation hasn’t been able to shut down opposing lineups. The Yankees’ offense woke up yesterday, scoring 10 runs, and that momentum could carry into today.

• Key Points:
  • Yankees’ offense came alive yesterday with 10 runs.
  • Seth Lugo is coming off two strong starts, showing improved form.
  • Kansas City has struggled both offensively and with their pitching.

Total Lean: Over 8.5

Both Lugo and Marcus Stroman have had shaky moments this season, and with the Yankees’ offense heating up, I lean toward the over. Kansas City may struggle to win, but they should contribute enough runs to push the total over.

Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics

Lean: Astros First 5 Innings Run Line -0.5

Houston sends Spencer Arrighetti to the mound, and despite a rough outing last time, he’s in a good spot to bounce back against a weak Oakland lineup. The Astros’ offense is far superior, and with the A’s consistently at the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, this feels like a good spot to take Houston early.

• Key Points:
  • Astros’ offense is vastly superior to Oakland’s.
  • Spencer Arrighetti looks to rebound after a tough start.
  • Oakland’s offense ranks near the bottom in runs scored and batting average.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers

Lean: Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5

Arizona is at home and sends ace Zac Gallen to the mound. The Diamondbacks have hit well all season, and Nathan Eovaldi’s road struggles give Arizona an edge here. The D-backs’ offense, led by Corbin Carroll, has shown they can capitalize on mistakes, and Eovaldi’s recent road splits suggest they’ll have opportunities to score.

• Key Points:
  • Zac Gallen is pitching, providing confidence for the D-backs to win.
  • Eovaldi has struggled on the road this season.
  • Arizona’s offense is explosive and capable of pushing the team total over.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Lean: Brewers Moneyline

This one’s a bit tricky without confirmed pitchers, but Milwaukee has the edge offensively. The Brewers have a solid lineup, and with San Francisco’s pitching rotation being inconsistent, I lean toward Milwaukee taking this one.

Final Thoughts

That’s it for today’s MLB Best Bets! Be sure to shop around for the best lines, and remember to maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam. With Oddsjam, you can find the best value in the market with tools like the Promo Finder, Positive Expected Value Bets, and the Bet Tracker.

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The post MLB Best Bets Tuesday 9/10/24 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

1. Joshua Palmer (Los Angeles Chargers)

Joshua Palmer has been quietly building his case as a breakout candidate over the past few years. Often overshadowed by the likes of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, Palmer has shown flashes of potential whenever he’s had the opportunity. Here’s why he should be on your radar for 2024:

• Opportunity Knocks: With Allen and Williams no longer in the picture, Palmer steps into a prime position to become the go-to receiver for Justin Herbert. This is a significant development considering Palmer’s chemistry with Herbert.
• Past Performance: In games where he stepped in due to injuries, Palmer was on pace for 72 catches and nearly 1,200 receiving yards last season before his own injury derailed his campaign. These numbers indicate his capability to perform at a high level.
• Versatility: Palmer has shown he can play both inside and outside, making him a versatile option in the Chargers’ offense. His build (6’1″, 215 lbs) and red zone prowess, dating back to his college days, make him a threat in scoring situations.
• Comparative Analysis: Palmer’s 2023 stats mirror Nico Collins‘ 2022 season, with both showing similar yards per route run (1.9). This comparison highlights Palmer’s potential to step up in a bigger role.

Key Insight: If rookie Quentin Johnston struggles to adjust, Palmer is in a prime position to capitalize and become the Chargers’ top receiver. His established chemistry with Herbert and proven track record when given the chance make him a valuable pick, especially at his current ADP of WR57.

2. Zamir White (Las Vegas Raiders)

Zamir White enters the 2024 season with a golden opportunity to establish himself as a key player in the Raiders’ offense. With Josh Jacobs‘ future uncertain, White is positioned to take on a significant role.

• Volume Potential: When Jacobs was sidelined last season, White averaged 21 attempts, 99 rushing yards, and 2.5 catches per game over four games. This workload shows his capability to handle a heavy workload.
• Offensive Line Support: The Raiders boast a top-five offensive line, bolstered by the addition of Jackson Powers-Johnson, who won the Remington Award as the nation’s best college center. This strong line will pave the way for White.
• Coaching Philosophy: Under head coach Antonio Pierce, the Raiders have shown a commitment to running the football. This aligns well with White’s skill set and the offensive strategy.
• Comparison to Peers: White’s projected volume puts him ahead of many other backs being drafted around him. For instance, Alexander Mattison and DeAndre Swift have more competition for touches, whereas White is set to be the primary back.

Key Insight: With the Raiders’ commitment to the run game and a strong offensive line, White is poised for a breakout season. His volume and role in the offense make him a strong value pick at RB24.

3. Kendre Miller (New Orleans Saints)

Kendre Miller’s rookie season was marred by injuries, but he has the potential to make a significant impact in 2024. Here’s why you should consider him for your drafts:

• Rushing Potential: Miller showcased his rushing ability in limited action, particularly in Week 18, where he had 13 carries for 73 yards and a touchdown. This performance hints at his potential as a lead rusher.
• Aging Competition: Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams are both nearing 30 and have shown signs of decline. Kamara ranked 40th out of 49 qualifying running backs in missed tackles forced per attempt, and Williams was last in rushing yards above expectation.
• Scheme Fit: With new offensive coordinator Clint Kubiak implementing an outside zone scheme, Miller’s rushing style fits well. This system could help him maximize his abilities.
• Red Zone Opportunities: Kamara has only scored 10 touchdowns over the past two seasons, suggesting that the Saints might look to Miller for more red zone opportunities, especially given his younger legs and potential.

Key Insight: Miller has the chance to become the Saints’ primary rusher in a new offensive scheme that suits his skills. His potential for red zone touches and the declining effectiveness of his competition make him a breakout candidate at RB43.

Conclusion

Targeting breakout players like Joshua Palmer, Zamir White, and Kendre Miller can give your fantasy team a significant edge. These players are positioned to step into larger roles, backed by strong statistics and favorable circumstances. Keep an eye on them during your drafts and consider the value they bring at their current ADPs.

The post Fantasy Football Breakouts to Target in 2024 Drafts first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

Quarterbacks

1. Sam Howell (Washington Commanders)
   • Pros: High pass attempts and completions early in the season; top 10 in fantasy at one point.
   • Cons: Struggled to complete passes, took many sacks.
   • Key Insight: Howell needs to improve decision-making and get rid of the ball faster to avoid hits. If he can stay upright, his early-season form suggests he has fantasy potential.
2. Trey Lance (San Francisco 49ers)
   • Pros: Hasn’t had a fair chance; great running ability.
   • Cons: Yet to secure a starting role; hasn’t beaten out competition.
   • Key Insight: Lance’s rushing upside makes him a valuable stash. If he finds a starting opportunity, his dual-threat ability could pay off big in fantasy.
3. Sam Darnold (San Francisco 49ers)
   • Pros: Multiple opportunities despite previous struggles; viewed as a capable backup.
   • Cons: Hasn’t solidified a starting role; inconsistent performance.
   • Key Insight: Darnold’s potential as a bridge quarterback or backup in a favorable system could make him a surprise contributor if injuries strike.

Running Backs

1. Tank Bigsby (Jacksonville Jaguars)
   • Pros: Potential for increased touches; no significant competition added.
   • Cons: Limited production last year.
   • Key Insight: With the Jaguars looking to involve him more, Bigsby could emerge as a valuable asset, especially if injuries occur.
2. Evan Hull (Indianapolis Colts)
   • Pros: Expected to be the immediate backup to Jonathan Taylor; solid pass-catching ability.
   • Cons: Coming off a knee injury.
   • Key Insight: Hull’s role as the passing-down back could give him consistent opportunities, particularly in PPR formats.
3. Dylan Lavy (Las Vegas Raiders)
   • Pros: Potential to carve out a role similar to Austin Ekeler.
   • Cons: Competing with Zamir White and others.
   • Key Insight: If he can establish himself as a reliable pass-catcher, Lavy could see significant work in passing situations.
4. Kamani Vidal (Baltimore Ravens)
   • Pros: University of Troy’s all-time leading rusher; impressive 40-yard dash time.
   • Cons: Sixth-round pick status; crowded backfield.
   • Key Insight: Vidal’s speed and college production make him an intriguing stash, especially with only Gus Edwards and JK Dobbins ahead of him.

Wide Receivers

1. Troy Franklin (New York Giants)
   • ECR: 61
   • Pros: Solid college production; opportunity in a developing Giants offense.
   • Cons: Needs to carve out a consistent role.
   • Key Insight: Franklin’s potential as a big-play threat makes him worth a late-round flyer.
2. Davian Wicks (Green Bay Packers)
   • ECR: 65
   • Pros: Compared to Davante Adams by Matt LaFleur; showed promise last season.
   • Cons: Crowded receiver room in Green Bay.
   • Key Insight: Wicks’ talent and the high praise from his coach make him a valuable stash, especially if he can secure a more prominent role.
3. Javon Baker (New Orleans Saints)
   • ECR: 68
   • Pros: High potential; opportunity in Saints’ offense.
   • Cons: Competing with established veterans.
   • Key Insight: Baker’s upside makes him a good stash, particularly if he can break out during the season.
4. Jaylen Hyatt (New York Giants)
   • ECR: 82
   • Pros: Significant upside; better quarterback play expected.
   • Cons: Deep on the depth chart; inconsistent college production.
   • Key Insight: Hyatt’s potential for big plays makes him a worthwhile stash in deep leagues.

Tight Ends

1. Jelani Woods (Indianapolis Colts)
   • ECR: 29
   • Pros: Great physical tools; big target.
   • Cons: Coming off a major injury.
   • Key Insight: Woods’ size and athleticism give him a high ceiling, making him worth a stash as he recovers from injury.
2. Luke Schoonmaker (Dallas Cowboys)
   • ECR: 39
   • Pros: Potential to develop; opportunity in Dallas’ offense.
   • Cons: Low initial ranking; uncertain role.
   • Key Insight: Schoonmaker’s potential upside in a strong offense makes him a good deep stash, especially if he can develop quickly.

By stashing these players, you’re banking on their potential to break out in the future. While some may not contribute immediately, their upside makes them worth holding onto in deep dynasty leagues. Keep an eye on their progress, and be ready to capitalize if and when they get their opportunity.

The post 12 Deep Dynasty Stashes for Your 2024 Fantasy Football Team first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

1. Kyler Murray (QB, Arizona Cardinals)

• Rise: From QB14 to QB9, overall from 19 to 12.3.
• Reason: Addition of Marvin Harrison Jr., improved team outlook.
• Insight: Murray’s value jump is primarily driven by the arrival of a top-tier receiver in Marvin Harrison Jr. Despite some initial concerns about his long-term status with the Cardinals, it’s clear that the team is committed to him.
• Verdict: Target. With a solid supporting cast and secure position, Murray is poised for a strong season. His dual-threat capability makes him a valuable asset.

2. Baker Mayfield (QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

• Rise: From QB25 to QB22, overall from 69 to 59.
• Reason: Re-signed with Tampa, Mike Evans staying.
• Insight: Mayfield had a solid year with Tampa Bay and the continuity with Evans boosts his appeal. However, concerns about his long-term upside remain, especially with a new offensive coordinator in Carolina.
• Verdict: Sell. The rise in value might be a good opportunity to trade Mayfield while his stock is relatively high.

3. Josh Jacobs (RB, Green Bay Packers)

• Rise: From RB14 to RB13, overall from 78.8 to 68.5.
• Reason: Improved offensive ecosystem with the Packers.
• Insight: Jacobs’ slight rise in value is driven by his move to Green Bay. However, Matt LaFleur’s history of using multiple backs and the presence of AJ Dillon temper expectations.
• Verdict: Sell. The potential for a shared backfield and LaFleur’s track record suggest that Jacobs might not see a significant increase in workload.

4. Raheem Mostert (RB, Miami Dolphins)

• Rise: From RB38 to RB28, overall from 143.5 to 120.
• Reason: Lack of competition from rookies, solid performance last season.
• Insight: Mostert’s rise is surprising given his age and injury history. While he had a productive season, his long-term viability is questionable.
• Verdict: Sell. With younger backs likely to emerge, Mostert’s value may be peaking.

5. Zach Moss (RB, Cincinnati Bengals)

• Rise: From RB54 to RB33.
• Reason: Signed with Cincinnati, potential lead back role.
• Insight: Moss’ rise is based on his new opportunity in Cincinnati, but his injury history and the presence of Chase Brown cast doubt on his ability to be a true lead back.
• Verdict: Sell. Moss’ history and competition make him a risky investment despite the recent rise.

6. Puka Nacua (WR, Los Angeles Rams)

• Rise: From WR8 to WR6, overall from 27.5 to 19.3.
• Reason: Impressive rookie season, stable role in the offense.
• Insight: Nacua’s rise reflects his strong rookie performance, but with Cooper Kupp returning, maintaining that production might be challenging.
• Verdict: Sell. His current value is high, and trading him now could yield significant returns.

7. DeVonta Smith (WR, Philadelphia Eagles)

• Rise: From WR17 to WR13, overall from 58 to 49.
• Reason: Secure role as the No. 2 receiver, big contract extension.
• Insight: Smith’s value increase is supported by his stable role and the Eagles’ investment in him. However, the presence of A.J. Brown and changes in the offensive scheme could impact his targets.
• Verdict: Target. Smith’s talent and role in a high-powered offense make him a valuable asset.

8. Drake London (WR, Atlanta Falcons)

• Rise: From WR20 to WR14, overall from 52 to 41.
• Reason: Improved quarterback options, new offensive scheme.
• Insight: London’s rise is driven by a better offensive situation and the addition of a new head coach focused on passing. His youth and talent further boost his appeal.
• Verdict: Target. London’s potential in an improved offense makes him a strong buy candidate.

9. Kyle Pitts (TE, Atlanta Falcons)

• Rise: From TE7 to TE6, overall from 74 to 65.
• Reason: Improved quarterback situation, new offensive scheme.
• Insight: Pitts’ value is on the rise due to an anticipated boost in offensive production. His talent and potential for increased targets make him a valuable asset.
• Verdict: Target. Pitts’ unique talent and improved situation make him a high-upside player worth investing in.

10. Dalton Kincaid (TE, Buffalo Bills)

• Rise: From TE8 to TE5, overall from 74.8 to 60.8.
• Reason: Trade of Stefon Diggs, potential for increased targets.
• Insight: Kincaid’s rise is driven by the departure of a major target hog in Diggs, opening up opportunities for him to become a focal point in the Bills’ offense.
• Verdict: Target. With a clear path to more targets, Kincaid is a valuable asset, especially in a high-powered offense.

In conclusion, understanding the reasons behind the rise in these players’ values can help you make informed decisions in your dynasty leagues. While some players are worth targeting due to their potential and improved situations, others might be at peak value, making it a good time to sell high. Use this analysis to navigate your dynasty leagues and stay ahead of the competition.

The post Are You TARGETING or SELLING These 10 Fantasy Football Dynasty RISERS in 2024? first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

1. Kimani Vidal (RB, Los Angeles Chargers)

• Current ADP: RB50
• Projected Rise: RB45 or higher

Kimani Vidal is a dynamic rookie who ranked second in rushing yards in college last year. While he’s currently behind Gus Edwards and JK Dobbins on the depth chart, his potential to carve out a role, especially later in the season, makes him a sleeper pick. Vidal is an elusive runner who forced 94 missed tackles last season, showcasing his ability to make defenders miss. If Edwards or Dobbins struggle with injuries, Vidal’s stock will skyrocket.

2. Jayden Daniels (QB, Washington Commanders)

• Current ADP: QB17
• Projected Rise: QB12-15

Jayden Daniels, the Heisman-winning quarterback, brings a dual-threat capability reminiscent of Anthony Richardson. With Cliff Kingsbury as the offensive coordinator, Daniels is poised to thrive in a pass-heavy scheme. Despite some uncertainty about him starting immediately, his rushing upside and potential make him an exciting pick. Keep an eye on his preseason performance, as it could push him even higher up the boards.

3. Jonathan Brooks (RB, Carolina Panthers)

• Current ADP: RB28
• Projected Rise: RB24 or higher

Jonathan Brooks is the most talented back in Carolina’s backfield. The Panthers will look to take pressure off Bryce Young by establishing a solid run game, and Brooks is the perfect fit. With a new offensive scheme under Shane Steichen, who did wonders with the Colts’ running backs, Brooks is set to benefit from increased touches and a revamped offensive line.

4. Tony Pollard (RB, Tennessee Titans)

• Current ADP: RB27
• Projected Rise: RB17-20

Tony Pollard is entering a new offensive system that suits his skill set perfectly. The Titans’ coaching staff has shown faith in him by bringing him in to complement Tyjae Spears. Pollard’s ability to catch passes out of the backfield and make explosive plays makes him a valuable asset, especially in PPR formats. His ADP will climb as he proves his worth in training camp and preseason games.

5. Christian Watson (WR, Green Bay Packers)

• Current ADP: WR42
• Projected Rise: WR36 or higher

Christian Watson is the top receiver in Green Bay and has incredible playmaking potential. Despite dealing with hamstring issues, his upside is undeniable. Watson had a strong rookie season and now with Jordan Love at quarterback, he’s poised for a breakout year. If he stays healthy, Watson could easily become a top-36 wide receiver, making him a steal at his current ADP.

6. Xavier Worthy (WR, Kansas City Chiefs)

• Current ADP: WR41
• Projected Rise: WR36 or higher

Xavier Worthy, the explosive rookie wideout, is set to benefit from playing with Patrick Mahomes. With questions surrounding Rashee Rice’s availability due to a potential suspension, Worthy’s speed and playmaking ability make him a prime candidate to move up the depth chart. Expect Worthy to see a significant increase in targets and opportunities, pushing his ADP higher.

7. Malik Nabers (WR, New York Giants)

• Current ADP: WR27
• Projected Rise: WR19-24

Malik Nabers is the best receiver Daniel Jones has ever had. He’s set to be the focal point of the Giants’ passing attack, with the potential to see 120-150 targets. Nabers’ ability to make big plays and his impressive camp performances will only increase his draft stock. As the season approaches, expect his ADP to rise as fantasy managers recognize his WR1 potential.

8. Raheem Mostert (RB, Miami Dolphins)

• Current ADP: RB33
• Projected Rise: RB24-28

Raheem Mostert’s impressive 2023 season, where he scored 21 touchdowns, is hard to ignore. While injury concerns and competition from Devon Achane and Jaylen Wright exist, Mostert’s ability to produce in a high-powered offense makes him a valuable pick. His ADP will likely rise as more people remember his past production and the Dolphins’ explosive offense.

9. Terry McLaurin (WR, Washington Commanders)

• Current ADP: WR34
• Projected Rise: WR28-30

Terry McLaurin has consistently produced despite playing with a revolving door of quarterbacks. With Jaden Daniels expected to start, McLaurin finally has a capable QB to maximize his potential. In a pass-heavy offense under Kingsbury, McLaurin’s targets and production should see a significant boost, pushing his ADP up.

10. Lad McConkey (WR, Los Angeles Chargers)

• Current ADP: WR44
• Projected Rise: WR38-40

Lad McConkey, the scrappy slot receiver, is set to thrive in a Chargers offense that will need reliable targets. With Justin Herbert at quarterback and a high-paced offense, McConkey’s PPR value is immense. He could be a PPR darling, consistently providing solid weekly points. As the season nears, his ADP will rise as more people recognize his potential role.

11. Zamir White (RB, Las Vegas Raiders)

• Current ADP: RB23
• Projected Rise: RB18-20

Zamir White showed flashes of brilliance last season and now has the backfield to himself. The Raiders’ commitment to the run game and an improved offensive line bode well for White. He’s a solid RB2 with the potential to climb higher, especially if he starts the season strong. Look for his ADP to rise as draft day approaches.

12. Brock Bowers (TE, Las Vegas Raiders)

• Current ADP: TE12
• Projected Rise: TE5-7

Brock Bowers is an elite tight end prospect who should not be overlooked. His versatility and playmaking ability make him a unique weapon in the Raiders’ offense. With Derek Carr at the helm and Davante Adams drawing coverage, Bowers will have plenty of opportunities to shine. His ADP will rise as people recognize his potential to be a top-tier tight end.

There you have it! These 12 players are set to rise up draft boards, so keep them on your radar as you prepare for your fantasy drafts. Good luck, and may your picks bring you fantasy glory!

The post 12 Fantasy Football Players Who Will RISE UP Draft Boards in 2024 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

1. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers

• Current ADP: QB134
• Key Insights:
  • Finished last season as QB7 in fantasy points per game.
  • Top five in passing yards with 4,200.
  • Second in completion percentage (69.5%).
  • 31 touchdowns to 11 interceptions.
  • Benefiting from Kyle Shanahan’s offensive scheme and a year of experience.

2. Rashad White, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Current ADP: RB13
• Key Insights:
  • Second in touches per game (336) last season.
  • RB5 overall in touches, 14th in points per game.
  • Improved offensive line and new offensive coordinator Liam Cohen.
  • Potential for increased efficiency with upgraded line play.

3. Gus Edwards, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

• Current ADP: RB40
• Key Insights:
  • New OC Greg Roman, known for run-heavy schemes.
  • Should be the primary goal-line back.
  • Productive in limited opportunities with a high yards-per-carry average (4.9).

4. Dalton Kincaid, TE, Buffalo Bills

• Current ADP: TE5
• Key Insights:
  • Led Bills’ TEs with 81 catches for 750 yards as a rookie.
  • Stepping into a larger role with the departure of top WRs.
  • Significant red zone target potential with Diggs and Davis gone.

5. Terry McLaurin, WR, Washington Commanders

• Current ADP: WR32
• Key Insights:
  • Consistent 1,000-yard seasons despite subpar quarterback play.
  • Could thrive with Jayden Daniels under center.
  • Target share and red zone opportunities expected to increase.

6. Kyle Pitts, TE, Atlanta Falcons

• Current ADP: TE6
• Key Insights:
  • Potential for a breakout with improved quarterback play.
  • Capable of elite production as seen in his rookie year.
  • Benefiting from a more pass-friendly offensive scheme.

7. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

• Current ADP: RB43
• Key Insights:
  • Still a valuable goal-line back with 12 touchdowns last season.
  • Efficient in short-yardage situations, essential for Dallas’ red-zone offense.
  • Potential for significant volume in a top offense.

8. Chris Godwin, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Current ADP: WR35
• Key Insights:
  • Over 1,100 yards last season despite low touchdown count.
  • Expected to see increased slot usage under Liam Cohen.
  • Regression to the mean in touchdowns likely.

9. Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

• Current ADP: WR30
• Key Insights:
  • Consistent WR2 production in previous seasons.
  • Burrow’s injury early last season affected his numbers.
  • Should benefit from a fully healthy Joe Burrow.

10. Joshua Palmer, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

• Current ADP: WR57
• Key Insights:
  • Stepping into a larger role with the departure of veteran WRs.
  • Proven chemistry with Justin Herbert.
  • Potential for significant red zone targets.

11. Zamir White, RB, Las Vegas Raiders

• Current ADP: RB24
• Key Insights:
  • Benefiting from a run-heavy scheme under Antonio Pierce.
  • Strong offensive line play.
  • High volume potential as the lead back.

12. Kendre Miller, RB, New Orleans Saints

• Current ADP: RB43
• Key Insights:
  • Showed flashes of potential last season.
  • Competing against aging RBs in Kamara and Williams.
  • Opportunity to be the lead rusher in a revamped offense.

These players are not only undervalued but are in situations where they can significantly outperform their current draft positions. By targeting these players, you can gain a competitive edge in your fantasy football leagues.

The post 12 Undervalued Fantasy Football Players to Watch in 2024 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

Rams Wide Receivers: Cooper Kupp vs. Puka Nacua

Key Insights:

• Cooper Kupp (ADP: 35, WR: 21)
  • Pros: Proven track record, high red zone usage.
  • Cons: Injury concerns, potential decline in performance.
• Puka Nacua (ADP: 80, WR: 6)
  • Pros: Stellar rookie season, led in multiple metrics.
  • Cons: Some injury concerns, but fewer than Kupp.

Analysis:

Puka Nacua has shown exceptional promise, leading the Rams in target share, air yard share, and yards per route run from weeks 5 through 17 last season. With a 25.4% target share and an impressive 2.61 yards per route run, he outperformed Kupp, who was WR23 in fantasy points per game during that period. Nacua’s potential to take another step forward makes him an attractive option at a more affordable draft cost.

Verdict:

• Draft Puka Nacua for his high ceiling and value at his current ADP.

Chicago Bears Wide Receivers: DJ Moore vs. Keenan Allen

Key Insights:

• DJ Moore (ADP: 28, WR: 16)
  • Pros: Efficient with bad quarterback play, strong after the catch.
  • Cons: Uncertainty with rookie quarterback Caleb Williams.
• Keenan Allen (ADP: 49, WR: 27)
  • Pros: Proven veteran, high volume target.
  • Cons: Needs high target volume to be effective, low aDOT.

Analysis:

DJ Moore has a track record of being productive even with subpar quarterback play. He can make big plays with fewer targets, which is crucial given the uncertainty with a rookie quarterback. On the other hand, Keenan Allen’s production relies heavily on getting a high number of targets each game. With the potential for lower target volume in an offense with multiple weapons, Moore’s efficiency makes him the better pick.

Verdict:

• Draft DJ Moore for his ability to produce efficiently with fewer targets.

Green Bay Packers Wide Receivers: Jaden Reed vs. Christian Watson

Key Insights:

• Jaden Reed (ADP: 63, WR: 34)
  • Pros: Breakout potential, solid rookie season.
  • Cons: Not a full-time player last year, lower snap share.
• Christian Watson (ADP: 87, WR: 44)
  • Pros: Led Packers in key metrics when healthy, high touchdown potential.
  • Cons: Injury history, but working to stay healthy.

Analysis:

Christian Watson led the Packers in target share, air yard share, and yards per route run when healthy. He was highly efficient and showed a strong connection with quarterback Jordan Love. Jaden Reed had a solid rookie season, but his role is more limited due to lower snap share. Watson’s proven ability to dominate when on the field makes him the better investment, especially at a lower ADP.

Verdict:

• Draft Christian Watson for his proven efficiency and lower cost.

Houston Texans Wide Receivers: Nico Collins vs. Stefon Diggs vs. Tank Dell

Key Insights:

• Nico Collins (ADP: 20, WR: 21)
  • Pros: High target share, consistent performance.
  • Cons: Potential regression, crowded receiver room.
• Stefon Diggs (ADP: 31, WR: 30)
  • Pros: Veteran presence, high target volume.
  • Cons: Declining efficiency, suspension concerns.
• Tank Dell (ADP: 57, WR: 30)
  • Pros: Explosive playmaker, strong connection with QB CJ Stroud.
  • Cons: Smaller sample size, injury concerns.

Analysis:

Tank Dell emerged as a favorite target for CJ Stroud, showing explosiveness and reliability. His strong finish to the season and connection with Stroud suggest continued success. Nico Collins offers consistency and volume, but Dell’s playmaking ability and rapport with the quarterback give him a slight edge at a more favorable ADP.

Verdict:

• Draft Tank Dell for his explosive potential and strong QB connection.

Kansas City Chiefs Wide Receivers: Hollywood Brown vs. Rashee Rice vs. Xavier Worthy

Key Insights:

• Hollywood Brown (ADP: 68, WR: 36)
  • Pros: Proven deep threat, potential in high-powered offense.
  • Cons: Injury-prone, declining efficiency.
• Rashee Rice (ADP: 80, WR: 39)
  • Pros: Versatile skill set, potential to fill key role.
  • Cons: Suspension concerns, unproven at the NFL level.
• Xavier Worthy (ADP: 83, WR: 41)
  • Pros: Blazing speed, great fit for Mahomes’ deep passes.
  • Cons: Rookie, unproven at the NFL level.

Analysis:

Xavier Worthy offers the most upside given his fit with Patrick Mahomes and his potential to fill the deep threat role left vacant since Tyreek Hill’s departure. Worthy’s speed and playmaking ability make him an intriguing option, especially at a lower ADP. Hollywood Brown’s injury history and declining efficiency make him a risky pick, while Rashee Rice’s suspension concerns further complicate his value.

Verdict:

• Draft Xavier Worthy for his high upside and potential to thrive with Mahomes.

Conclusion

In summary, targeting players like Puka Nacua, DJ Moore, Christian Watson, Tank Dell, and Xavier Worthy can provide high upside and value based on their current ADP. These players have shown promise and have the potential to outperform their draft cost, making them excellent investments for the 2024 fantasy football season. Keep these insights in mind as you prepare for your drafts and build your winning team!

The post Who Would You Rather Have From the 2024 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Class? first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

The post Fantasy Football Running Backs to Target in 2024: Key Insights and Matchups first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

As we gear up for the 2024 fantasy football season, it’s crucial to assess which running backs are worth targeting early and which ones you might want to fade. With insights from the YouTube discussion by Joe, Fitz, and John Daigle, let’s dive into the top running backs, breaking them down into tiers and providing key insights to help you make informed decisions.

Tier 1: The Elite

1. Christian McCaffrey (CMC)
   • Why Target:
     • CMC is in a league of his own. His ability to dominate both the ground and air makes him a versatile and valuable asset.
     • Stats: Last season, he led all running backs in total yardage and touchdowns.
   • Concerns: Minimal, as long as he stays healthy.
2. Breece Hall
   • Why Target:
     • With Dalvin Cook out of the way and another offseason to recover from his injury, Hall is set to be the workhorse.
     • Stats: Hall showed flashes of brilliance last season before his injury, averaging over 5 yards per carry.
   • Concerns: Injury history is something to monitor.
3. Bijan Robinson
   • Why Target:
     • Robinson steps into a favorable situation with Arthur Smith gone and an easy schedule.
     • Stats: Graded seventh in run blocking by PFF last year, the Falcons’ offensive line should provide ample opportunities.
   • Concerns: Rookie adjustments, but talent and opportunity are undeniable.

Tier 2: The Next Best

4. Jonathan Taylor
   • Why Target:
     • Taylor’s 2021 season was historic, and with a dynamic QB in Anthony Richardson, his efficiency should spike.
     • Stats: Over 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 20 touchdowns in 2021.
   • Concerns: Health is the primary concern, but the upside is tremendous.
5. Jahmyr Gibbs
   • Why Target:
     • Gibbs’ talent and the Lions’ favorable schedule make him a strong option, especially in PPR formats.
     • Stats: Despite sharing touches, Gibbs’ efficiency and pass-catching ability stand out.
   • Concerns: David Montgomery‘s presence limits his ceiling.
6. Saquon Barkley
   • Why Fade:
     • Barkley’s move to Philadelphia poses some concerns regarding his role, especially in short-yardage situations.
     • Stats: Barkley’s involvement in the passing game has declined, making him less appealing in PPR formats.
   • Concerns: Jaylen Hurts’ goal-line carries limit Barkley’s touchdown potential.

Tier 3: High Risk, High Reward

7. Kyren Williams
   • Why Target:
     • When healthy, Williams was a fantasy gem, providing consistent production.
     • Stats: Averaged over 15 touches per game when healthy.
   • Concerns: Injury history and Blake Corum’s presence might limit his touches.
8. Travis Etienne
   • Why Fade:
     • Etienne’s inconsistent usage and the addition of Tank Bigsby raise red flags.
     • Stats: Strong start to the season but tapered off significantly post-bye.
   • Concerns: Doug Peterson’s comments about a committee approach are worrisome.

Conclusion

When drafting early-round running backs, it’s essential to balance potential with risk. Christian McCaffrey stands out as the top choice, while Breece Hall and Bijan Robinson offer significant upside. Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs are solid tier two options, with some concerns. Be cautious with Saquon Barkley and Travis Etienne, as their situations carry more risk. Key Points to Remember:

• Target CMC as your first pick if available.
• Prioritize Breece Hall and Bijan Robinson for their favorable situations.
• Consider Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs in the second round, but be aware of their potential drawbacks.
• Fade Saquon Barkley and Travis Etienne unless they fall to a value spot in your draft.

Use these insights to build a strong foundation for your fantasy football team in 2024. Happy drafting!

The post Early-Round Fantasy Football Running Backs to Target or Fade in 2024 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

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Top 5 NBA Best Bets

1. Anthony Edwards Over 25.5 Points

• Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets, Game 6
• Key Insights:
  • Volume Shooter: Edwards is the primary scoring option for the Timberwolves.
  • Recent Performance: Despite a poor shooting night last game, Edwards is averaging over 30 points per game in the series.
  • Home Advantage: With the game at home, Edwards is likely to be more comfortable and aggressive.
  • Injury Situation: With Mike Conley potentially limited, Edwards will need to shoulder more of the offensive load.
• Betting Line: Over 25.5 points

2. Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, Game 6
• Key Insights:
  • Playmaking Prowess: Jokic has consistently been a triple-double threat, orchestrating the Nuggets’ offense.
  • Recent Form: Averaging 10+ assists per game in the series.
  • Defensive Focus: With the Timberwolves likely to double-team Jokic, his passing opportunities will increase.
  • Crucial Game: In a potential series-clinching game, expect Jokic to be heavily involved in creating scoring opportunities.
• Betting Line: Over 9.5 assists

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3. Jamal Murray Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, Game 6
• Key Insights:
  • Sharp Shooter: Murray has been on fire from beyond the arc, averaging over 3 made threes per game in the series.
  • Offensive Role: As Denver’s primary perimeter threat, Murray will get plenty of looks.
  • Defensive Matchups: The Timberwolves’ defense has struggled to contain him on the perimeter.
  • High Stakes: Murray tends to perform well in high-pressure situations, increasing his likelihood of hitting key threes.
• Betting Line: Over 2.5 three-pointers made

4. Rudy Gobert Over 10.5 Rebounds

• Matchup: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets, Game 6
• Key Insights:
  • Rebounding Machine: Gobert is a dominant presence on the boards, consistently posting double-digit rebound games.
  • Defensive Anchor: With the Timberwolves’ season on the line, expect Gobert to be even more aggressive on the glass.
  • Matchup Dynamics: The Nuggets’ offense generates a lot of rebounding opportunities, playing into Gobert’s strengths.
  • Injury Situation: Any limitations on other frontcourt players will lead to more minutes and rebound chances for Gobert.
• Betting Line: Over 10.5 rebounds

5. Michael Porter Jr. Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made

• Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves, Game 6
• Key Insights:
  • Perimeter Threat: Porter Jr. has been a consistent three-point shooter for Denver.
  • Recent Performance: Averaging over 2 made threes per game in the series.
  • Spacing the Floor: His shooting helps stretch the Timberwolves’ defense, creating more open looks.
  • Playoff Impact: In crucial games, Porter Jr. tends to step up and deliver from long range.
• Betting Line: Over 1.5 three-pointers made

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Injury Situations to Watch:

• Mike Conley (Timberwolves): Right Achilles soreness. If Conley plays, it could impact Edwards’ usage but might also provide more assist opportunities for him.
• Jamal Murray (Nuggets): No reported issues, but always keep an eye on last-minute updates.

Key Points Recap:

• Anthony Edwards: Over 25.5 points – primary scorer, home game boost.
• Nikola Jokic: Over 9.5 assists – playmaker, triple-double threat.
• Jamal Murray: Over 2.5 three-pointers – hot shooter, clutch performer.
• Rudy Gobert: Over 10.5 rebounds – rebounding beast, defensive anchor.
• Michael Porter Jr.: Over 1.5 three-pointers – perimeter shooter, floor spacer.

Using these insights and stats, you can confidently make your picks for today’s NBA slate. Always remember to check for last-minute injury updates and line movements before finalizing your bets. Good luck!

The post NBA Best Bets Today 5/16/24 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.