1. Joshua Palmer (Los Angeles Chargers)
Joshua Palmer has been quietly building his case as a breakout candidate over the past few years. Often overshadowed by the likes of Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, Palmer has shown flashes of potential whenever he’s had the opportunity. Here’s why he should be on your radar for 2024:
- Opportunity Knocks: With Allen and Williams no longer in the picture, Palmer steps into a prime position to become the go-to receiver for Justin Herbert. This is a significant development considering Palmer’s chemistry with Herbert.
- Past Performance: In games where he stepped in due to injuries, Palmer was on pace for 72 catches and nearly 1,200 receiving yards last season before his own injury derailed his campaign. These numbers indicate his capability to perform at a high level.
- Versatility: Palmer has shown he can play both inside and outside, making him a versatile option in the Chargers’ offense. His build (6’1″, 215 lbs) and red zone prowess, dating back to his college days, make him a threat in scoring situations.
- Comparative Analysis: Palmer’s 2023 stats mirror Nico Collins‘ 2022 season, with both showing similar yards per route run (1.9). This comparison highlights Palmer’s potential to step up in a bigger role.
Key Insight: If rookie Quentin Johnston struggles to adjust, Palmer is in a prime position to capitalize and become the Chargers’ top receiver. His established chemistry with Herbert and proven track record when given the chance make him a valuable pick, especially at his current ADP of WR57.
2. Zamir White (Las Vegas Raiders)
Zamir White enters the 2024 season with a golden opportunity to establish himself as a key player in the Raiders’ offense. With Josh Jacobs‘ future uncertain, White is positioned to take on a significant role.
- Volume Potential: When Jacobs was sidelined last season, White averaged 21 attempts, 99 rushing yards, and 2.5 catches per game over four games. This workload shows his capability to handle a heavy workload.
- Offensive Line Support: The Raiders boast a top-five offensive line, bolstered by the addition of Jackson Powers-Johnson, who won the Remington Award as the nation’s best college center. This strong line will pave the way for White.
- Coaching Philosophy: Under head coach Antonio Pierce, the Raiders have shown a commitment to running the football. This aligns well with White’s skill set and the offensive strategy.
- Comparison to Peers: White’s projected volume puts him ahead of many other backs being drafted around him. For instance, Alexander Mattison and DeAndre Swift have more competition for touches, whereas White is set to be the primary back.
Key Insight: With the Raiders’ commitment to the run game and a strong offensive line, White is poised for a breakout season. His volume and role in the offense make him a strong value pick at RB24.
3. Kendre Miller (New Orleans Saints)
Kendre Miller’s rookie season was marred by injuries, but he has the potential to make a significant impact in 2024. Here’s why you should consider him for your drafts:
- Rushing Potential: Miller showcased his rushing ability in limited action, particularly in Week 18, where he had 13 carries for 73 yards and a touchdown. This performance hints at his potential as a lead rusher.
- Aging Competition: Alvin Kamara and Jamaal Williams are both nearing 30 and have shown signs of decline. Kamara ranked 40th out of 49 qualifying running backs in missed tackles forced per attempt, and Williams was last in rushing yards above expectation.
- Scheme Fit: With new offensive coordinator Clint Kubiak implementing an outside zone scheme, Miller’s rushing style fits well. This system could help him maximize his abilities.
- Red Zone Opportunities: Kamara has only scored 10 touchdowns over the past two seasons, suggesting that the Saints might look to Miller for more red zone opportunities, especially given his younger legs and potential.
Key Insight: Miller has the chance to become the Saints’ primary rusher in a new offensive scheme that suits his skills. His potential for red zone touches and the declining effectiveness of his competition make him a breakout candidate at RB43.
Conclusion
Targeting breakout players like Joshua Palmer, Zamir White, and Kendre Miller can give your fantasy team a significant edge. These players are positioned to step into larger roles, backed by strong statistics and favorable circumstances. Keep an eye on them during your drafts and consider the value they bring at their current ADPs.
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