Early-Round Fantasy Football Running Backs to Target or Fade in 2024

As we gear up for the 2024 fantasy football season, it’s crucial to assess which running backs are worth targeting early and which ones you might want to fade. With insights from the YouTube discussion by Joe, Fitz, and John Daigle, let’s dive into the top running backs, breaking them down into tiers and providing key insights to help you make informed decisions.

Tier 1: The Elite

1. Christian McCaffrey (CMC)
   • Why Target:
     • CMC is in a league of his own. His ability to dominate both the ground and air makes him a versatile and valuable asset.
     • Stats: Last season, he led all running backs in total yardage and touchdowns.
   • Concerns: Minimal, as long as he stays healthy.
2. Breece Hall
   • Why Target:
     • With Dalvin Cook out of the way and another offseason to recover from his injury, Hall is set to be the workhorse.
     • Stats: Hall showed flashes of brilliance last season before his injury, averaging over 5 yards per carry.
   • Concerns: Injury history is something to monitor.
3. Bijan Robinson
   • Why Target:
     • Robinson steps into a favorable situation with Arthur Smith gone and an easy schedule.
     • Stats: Graded seventh in run blocking by PFF last year, the Falcons’ offensive line should provide ample opportunities.
   • Concerns: Rookie adjustments, but talent and opportunity are undeniable.

Tier 2: The Next Best

4. Jonathan Taylor
   • Why Target:
     • Taylor’s 2021 season was historic, and with a dynamic QB in Anthony Richardson, his efficiency should spike.
     • Stats: Over 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 20 touchdowns in 2021.
   • Concerns: Health is the primary concern, but the upside is tremendous.
5. Jahmyr Gibbs
   • Why Target:
     • Gibbs’ talent and the Lions’ favorable schedule make him a strong option, especially in PPR formats.
     • Stats: Despite sharing touches, Gibbs’ efficiency and pass-catching ability stand out.
   • Concerns: David Montgomery‘s presence limits his ceiling.
6. Saquon Barkley
   • Why Fade:
     • Barkley’s move to Philadelphia poses some concerns regarding his role, especially in short-yardage situations.
     • Stats: Barkley’s involvement in the passing game has declined, making him less appealing in PPR formats.
   • Concerns: Jaylen Hurts’ goal-line carries limit Barkley’s touchdown potential.

Tier 3: High Risk, High Reward

7. Kyren Williams
   • Why Target:
     • When healthy, Williams was a fantasy gem, providing consistent production.
     • Stats: Averaged over 15 touches per game when healthy.
   • Concerns: Injury history and Blake Corum’s presence might limit his touches.
8. Travis Etienne
   • Why Fade:
     • Etienne’s inconsistent usage and the addition of Tank Bigsby raise red flags.
     • Stats: Strong start to the season but tapered off significantly post-bye.
   • Concerns: Doug Peterson’s comments about a committee approach are worrisome.

Conclusion

When drafting early-round running backs, it’s essential to balance potential with risk. Christian McCaffrey stands out as the top choice, while Breece Hall and Bijan Robinson offer significant upside. Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs are solid tier two options, with some concerns. Be cautious with Saquon Barkley and Travis Etienne, as their situations carry more risk. Key Points to Remember:

• Target CMC as your first pick if available.
• Prioritize Breece Hall and Bijan Robinson for their favorable situations.
• Consider Jonathan Taylor and Jahmyr Gibbs in the second round, but be aware of their potential drawbacks.
• Fade Saquon Barkley and Travis Etienne unless they fall to a value spot in your draft.

Use these insights to build a strong foundation for your fantasy football team in 2024. Happy drafting!