Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Lean: Phillies Team Total Over 4.5

The Phillies have struggled offensively in recent games, but today’s matchup against Taj Bradley should give them a chance to bounce back. Bradley is a high-velocity pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball, and the Phillies have been solid against that pitch type this season. They’ve had a couple of low-scoring games, but with the quality of bats in this lineup, a breakout is due.

• Key Points:
  • Phillies face a fastball-heavy pitcher in Taj Bradley.
  • The Phillies’ offense is due for a bounce-back after two low-scoring games.
  • Bradley has struggled in recent outings, making this a favorable spot for Philadelphia’s bats.

Total Lean: Over 7.5

Both teams have the potential to put up runs today, and while Ranger Suárez has been steady for the Phillies, Atlanta’s potent lineup makes the over a solid lean in this spot.

New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals

Lean: Yankees Moneyline

Seth Lugo takes the mound for the Yankees, and while he’s had some inconsistent outings this season, he’s coming off back-to-back strong starts. Kansas City has struggled offensively, and their pitching rotation hasn’t been able to shut down opposing lineups. The Yankees’ offense woke up yesterday, scoring 10 runs, and that momentum could carry into today.

• Key Points:
  • Yankees’ offense came alive yesterday with 10 runs.
  • Seth Lugo is coming off two strong starts, showing improved form.
  • Kansas City has struggled both offensively and with their pitching.

Total Lean: Over 8.5

Both Lugo and Marcus Stroman have had shaky moments this season, and with the Yankees’ offense heating up, I lean toward the over. Kansas City may struggle to win, but they should contribute enough runs to push the total over.

Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics

Lean: Astros First 5 Innings Run Line -0.5

Houston sends Spencer Arrighetti to the mound, and despite a rough outing last time, he’s in a good spot to bounce back against a weak Oakland lineup. The Astros’ offense is far superior, and with the A’s consistently at the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, this feels like a good spot to take Houston early.

• Key Points:
  • Astros’ offense is vastly superior to Oakland’s.
  • Spencer Arrighetti looks to rebound after a tough start.
  • Oakland’s offense ranks near the bottom in runs scored and batting average.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers

Lean: Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5

Arizona is at home and sends ace Zac Gallen to the mound. The Diamondbacks have hit well all season, and Nathan Eovaldi’s road struggles give Arizona an edge here. The D-backs’ offense, led by Corbin Carroll, has shown they can capitalize on mistakes, and Eovaldi’s recent road splits suggest they’ll have opportunities to score.

• Key Points:
  • Zac Gallen is pitching, providing confidence for the D-backs to win.
  • Eovaldi has struggled on the road this season.
  • Arizona’s offense is explosive and capable of pushing the team total over.

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Lean: Brewers Moneyline

This one’s a bit tricky without confirmed pitchers, but Milwaukee has the edge offensively. The Brewers have a solid lineup, and with San Francisco’s pitching rotation being inconsistent, I lean toward Milwaukee taking this one.

Final Thoughts

That’s it for today’s MLB Best Bets! Be sure to shop around for the best lines, and remember to maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam. With Oddsjam, you can find the best value in the market with tools like the Promo Finder, Positive Expected Value Bets, and the Bet Tracker.

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Good luck today, and let’s cash those bets!

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1. Tyler Glasnow Over 8.5 Strikeouts

Dodgers vs. Reds

• Pitching Matchup: Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers) vs. Nick Martinez (Reds)
• Key Insights:
  • Glasnow boasts a 34.1% strikeout rate against right-handed batters and a 32.9% rate against lefties.
  • The Reds have struggled against right-handed pitching, with a high strikeout rate.
  • Glasnow has consistently hit double-digit strikeouts in his recent outings, making him a solid bet to go over 8.5 Ks.
  • Weather: Humid conditions could enhance pitch movement, benefiting Glasnow.

Injury Situations:

• No major injuries impacting Glasnow’s performance or the Reds’ lineup.

Key Points:

• High strikeout potential against a strikeout-prone team.
• Glasnow’s recent performance supports the over bet.

2. Phillies First Five Innings Run Line (-0.5)

Phillies vs. Mets

• Pitching Matchup: Taijuan Walker (Phillies) vs. Jose Quintana (Mets)
• Key Insights:
  • The Phillies’ offense is strong against left-handed pitching, and Quintana has struggled with control.
  • Walker has been solid in recent starts, particularly against weaker offenses.
  • The Phillies have the advantage in the first five innings, especially given Quintana’s tendency to allow early runs.
  • Weather: Favorable hitting conditions with mild wind and temperatures around 69°F.

Injury Situations:

• No significant injuries affecting key Phillies hitters or pitchers.

Key Points:

• Phillies’ offensive advantage against LHP.
• Walker’s recent solid performances.

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3. Boston Red Sox Moneyline

Red Sox vs. Rays

• Pitching Matchup: Cooper Criswell (Red Sox) vs. Zack Littell (Rays)
• Key Insights:
  • Criswell has been effective, with the team going 5-0 in his last five starts.
  • Littell has shown vulnerability, especially against powerful lineups like Boston’s.
  • The Red Sox bullpen is rested and ranks among the top in the league, providing late-game support.
  • Weather: Cool conditions at Fenway Park with temperatures around 58°F, slightly favoring pitchers.

Injury Situations:

• No significant injuries impacting the Red Sox’s main contributors.

Key Points:

• Red Sox’s bullpen advantage.
• Criswell’s recent form.

4. Pittsburgh Pirates Moneyline

Cubs vs. Pirates

• Pitching Matchup: Justin Steele (Cubs) vs. Jared Jones (Pirates)
• Key Insights:
  • Jared Jones has been impressive, with strong strikeout rates and control.
  • Steele has struggled against the Pirates, particularly in his last outing.
  • Pittsburgh’s offense has been improving, and they have a favorable matchup against Steele.
  • Weather: Chance of rain, but wind blowing out at Wrigley Field, could favor hitters.

Injury Situations:

• No key injuries affecting the Pirates’ lineup.

Key Points:

• Jones’s strong performance vs. Steele’s struggles.
• Favorable hitting conditions.

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5. Houston Astros and Dodgers Moneyline Parlay

Astros vs. Athletics & Dodgers vs. Reds

• Pitching Matchups: Cristian Javier (Astros) vs. Joey Estes (Athletics) & Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers) vs. Nick Martinez (Reds)
• Key Insights:
  • Javier has dominated the Athletics’ lineup in previous encounters.
  • Glasnow is in peak form and faces a Reds lineup with high strikeout rates.
  • Both teams are heavily favored, but combining them in a parlay offers better odds.
  • Weather: Favorable conditions for both games, with the Dodgers enjoying clear skies and the Astros playing indoors.

Injury Situations:

• No significant injuries impacting key players on either team.

Key Points:

• Dominant pitching matchups.
• Better value with the parlay.

Conclusion

These bets provide a mix of high upside and solid value. By focusing on strong pitching matchups and favorable offensive conditions, you can maximize your potential returns. Remember to check Oddsjam for the latest odds and reliable bets to enhance your strategy. Happy betting!

The post MLB Best Bets Today 5/16/24 first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

Top 3 DFS Stacks

1. Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kyle Bradish (R) – Orioles

Insights:

• Kyle Bradish (R):
  • vL: 26.5% K%, 8.5% BB%, .108 ISO
  • vR: 24.6% K%, 5.2% BB%, .118 ISO
  • L6 Games: Improved strikeout rates, especially against lefties

Blue Jays Hitters:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R): .182 ISO, .381 wOBA vs. RHP
• George Springer (R): .137 ISO, .333 wOBA vs. RHP
• Bo Bichette (R): .151 ISO, .340 wOBA vs. RHP
• Daulton Varsho (L): .199 ISO, .296 wOBA vs. RHP

Key Points:

• Bradish has shown vulnerability against both sides, despite his improved recent performance.
• The Blue Jays’ lineup has power and low strikeout rates, making them a prime stack against Bradish.
• Camden Yards is a hitter-friendly park, further boosting their upside.

2. San Diego Padres vs. Austin Gomber (L) – Rockies

Insights:

• Austin Gomber (L):
  • vL: 14.4% K%, 6.0% BB%, .270 ISO
  • vR: 15.0% K%, 7.7% BB%, .193 ISO
  • L6 Games: High ISO allowed, struggling to limit damage

Padres Hitters:

• Fernando Tatis Jr. (R): .195 ISO, .407 wOBA vs. LHP
• Manny Machado (R): .210 ISO, .360 wOBA vs. LHP
• Xander Bogaerts (R): .162 ISO, .329 wOBA vs. LHP
• Luis Campusano (R): .194 ISO, .316 wOBA vs. LHP

Key Points:

• Gomber has struggled significantly against both lefties and righties, with high ISO numbers.
• The Padres’ lineup is loaded with right-handed power hitters who excel against lefties.
• Petco Park is generally pitcher-friendly, but the Padres’ matchup against Gomber’s struggles outweighs this.

3. Chicago White Sox vs. Patrick Corbin (L) – Nationals

Insights:

• Patrick Corbin (L):
  • vL: 16.8% K%, 10.0% BB%, .151 ISO
  • vR: 15.2% K%, 6.8% BB%, .199 ISO
  • L6 Games: High ISO and wOBA against both sides

White Sox Hitters:

• Tommy Pham (R): .226 ISO, .391 wOBA vs. LHP
• Andrew Vaughn (R): .135 ISO, .311 wOBA vs. LHP
• Eloy Jimenez (R): .135 ISO, .317 wOBA vs. LHP
• Paul DeJong (R): .164 ISO, .293 wOBA vs. LHP

Key Points:

• Corbin has struggled mightily against right-handed hitters, allowing high ISO and wOBA.
• The White Sox have several right-handed hitters who can take advantage of Corbin’s weaknesses.
• Guaranteed Rate Field is neutral but can be hitter-friendly with favorable conditions.

Under the Radar Stack

Miami Marlins vs. Casey Mize (R) – Tigers

Insights:

• Casey Mize (R):
  • vL: 15.2% K%, 7.6% BB%, .097 ISO
  • vR: 16.9% K%, 3.6% BB%, .087 ISO
  • L6 Games: Low strikeout rates, vulnerable to left-handed power

Marlins Hitters:

• Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L): .227 ISO, .334 wOBA vs. RHP
• Bryan De La Cruz (R): .184 ISO, .331 wOBA vs. RHP
• Josh Bell (S): .142 ISO, .324 wOBA vs. RHP
• Jesus Sanchez (L): .185 ISO, .360 wOBA vs. RHP

Key Points:

• Mize has low strikeout rates and can struggle against left-handed hitters.
• The Marlins have a mix of power from both sides of the plate.
• This stack is under the radar but has the potential for a high upside given Mize’s vulnerabilities.

Conclusion

Today’s MLB DFS slate offers some promising stack opportunities. The Blue Jays, Padres, and White Sox are top options based on their matchups against struggling pitchers. For those looking for a sneaky stack, the Marlins present a compelling case against Casey Mize. Use these insights to build your lineups and maximize your DFS potential. Good luck!

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Top 5 DFS Hitters

1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) – Blue Jays

Matchup: Blue Jays @ Orioles, Kyle Bradish (R)

• Key Stats:
  • vR: .381 xwOBA, .182 ISO
  • Bradish vs. RHB: .261 wOBA, .118 ISO

Insight: Guerrero Jr. is in a prime spot against Kyle Bradish, who has struggled against right-handed hitters. Guerrero’s ability to generate power and his solid xwOBA against righties make him a top play today.

2. Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) – Padres

Matchup: Padres vs. Rockies, Austin Gomber (L)

• Key Stats:
  • vL: .407 xwOBA, .195 ISO
  • Gomber vs. RHB: .343 wOBA, .193 ISO

Insight: Tatis Jr. has been crushing left-handed pitching, and Gomber’s struggles against righties amplify Tatis Jr.’s potential. Expect him to take full advantage of this favorable matchup.

3. Ryan Mountcastle (R) – Orioles

Matchup: Orioles vs. Blue Jays, Chris Bassitt (R)

• Key Stats:
  • vR: .299 xwOBA, .134 ISO
  • Bassitt vs. RHB: .258 wOBA, .092 ISO

Insight: Mountcastle’s power against righties makes him a strong play, especially against Bassitt, who has been decent but not dominant against right-handed hitters.

4. Bryan Reynolds (S) – Pirates

Matchup: Pirates @ Brewers, Robert Gasser (L)

• Key Stats:
  • vL: .316 xwOBA, .151 ISO
  • Gasser vs. RHB: .262 wOBA

Insight: Reynolds is a switch hitter with solid numbers against lefties. With Gasser being relatively inexperienced and having a limited sample size, Reynolds could exploit this matchup.

5. Luis Arraez (L) – Padres

Matchup: Padres vs. Rockies, Austin Gomber (L)

• Key Stats:
  • vL: .302 xwOBA, .069 ISO
  • Gomber vs. LHB: .411 wOBA, .270 ISO

Insight: Arraez is known for his contact skills and ability to get on base. Facing Gomber, who has struggled against both left and right-handed hitters, Arraez is a safe play with a high floor.

Under the Radar Plays

1. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) – Marlins

Matchup: Marlins @ Tigers, Casey Mize (R)

• Key Stats:
  • vR: .334 xwOBA, .227 ISO
  • Mize vs. LHB: .328 wOBA, .097 ISO

Insight: Chisholm Jr. offers power and speed, and he’s facing a pitcher in Mize who has shown vulnerability against left-handed hitters. Chisholm’s upside makes him an intriguing under-the-radar option.

2. Andrew McCutchen (R) – Pirates

Matchup: Pirates @ Brewers, Robert Gasser (L)

• Key Stats:
  • vL: .341 xwOBA, .142 ISO
  • Gasser vs. RHB: .262 wOBA

Insight: McCutchen’s experience and ability to handle left-handed pitching make him a solid play against the inexperienced Gasser. He’s a veteran hitter who can still deliver in favorable matchups.

3. George Springer (R) – Blue Jays

Matchup: Blue Jays @ Orioles, Kyle Bradish (R)

• Key Stats:
  • vR: .333 xwOBA, .137 ISO
  • Bradish vs. RHB: .261 wOBA, .118 ISO

Insight: Springer has been consistent against right-handed pitching. With Bradish’s recent struggles, Springer could have a productive game, making him a valuable under-the-radar play.

Conclusion

Today’s slate offers plenty of opportunities for hitters to shine. Focusing on favorable matchups and leveraging key statistics can give your DFS lineup the edge it needs. Good luck!

The post MLB Daily Fantasy Top Hitters 5/15/24 Early Slate first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

Blue Jays @ Orioles – 12:35 PM ET – Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pitching Matchup:

• Chris Bassitt (R) – Blue Jays: 13.53 DK points, 5.7 Ks
• Kyle Bradish (R) – Orioles: 16.63 DK points, 5.8 Ks

Game Preview:

• Chris Bassitt has been solid, especially against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .258 wOBA, .092 ISO
  • His ability to limit hard contact makes him a reliable option.
• Kyle Bradish has impressive strikeout potential, but he’s struggled against righties recently.
  • Last 6 games vs. RHBs: .217 wOBA, 28.6% K%
  • Bradish’s recent form suggests he could be in for a tough outing against the Blue Jays’ potent lineup.

Key Points:

• Both pitchers have shown strengths but face lineups that can exploit their weaknesses.
• Bassitt’s control and Bradish’s strikeout potential make this a game to watch closely.

Marlins @ Tigers – 1:10 PM ET – Comerica Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Trevor Rogers (L) – Marlins: 9.3 DK points, 4.1 Ks
• Casey Mize (R) – Tigers: 13.6 DK points, 4.7 Ks

Game Preview:

• Trevor Rogers has struggled against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .366 wOBA, .181 ISO
  • His inconsistency makes him a risky play.
• Casey Mize has been more reliable, particularly against righties.
  • vR: .309 wOBA, .087 ISO
  • Mize’s control could be the key to a strong performance against a Marlins lineup that has struggled against right-handers.

Key Points:

• Rogers’ vulnerability against righties could be exploited by the Tigers.
• Mize’s solid control and ability to limit damage make him a safer option in this matchup.

Pirates @ Brewers – 1:10 PM ET – American Family Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Martin Perez (L) – Pirates: 13.66 DK points, 5.5 Ks
• Robert Gasser (L) – Brewers: 12.86 DK points, 5.9 Ks

Game Preview:

• Martin Perez has had difficulties against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .351 wOBA, .159 ISO
  • Brewers’ right-handed hitters could have an advantage.
• Robert Gasser is relatively inexperienced but has shown potential.
  • Limited sample size: 57.1% K% vs. LHBs
  • Gasser’s potential makes him an interesting, albeit risky, option.

Key Points:

• Perez’s struggles against right-handers could be a focal point for Brewers’ hitters.
• Gasser’s small sample size adds an element of unpredictability to this matchup.

Nationals @ White Sox – 2:10 PM ET – Guaranteed Rate Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Patrick Corbin (L) – Nationals: 12.16 DK points, 4.9 Ks
• Garrett Crochet (L) – White Sox: 13.38 DK points, 5.7 Ks

Game Preview:

• Patrick Corbin has struggled mightily, especially against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .377 wOBA, .199 ISO
  • His recent form suggests he’s a high-risk option.
• Garrett Crochet has strong strikeout numbers but has also allowed significant hard contact.
  • vR: .302 wOBA, .208 ISO
  • Crochet’s strikeout potential makes him intriguing, but his volatility must be considered.

Key Points:

• Corbin’s struggles make the White Sox lineup an attractive target.
• Crochet’s strikeout ability offers upside but comes with risk due to hard contact allowed.

Reds @ Diamondbacks – 3:40 PM ET – Chase Field

Pitching Matchup:

• Andrew Abbott (L) – Reds: 10.95 DK points, 4.7 Ks
• Brandon Pfaadt (R) – Diamondbacks: 10.54 DK points, 5.6 Ks

Game Preview:

• Andrew Abbott has been solid, especially against left-handed hitters.
  • vL: .236 wOBA, .076 ISO
  • His consistency makes him a reliable option.
• Brandon Pfaadt has shown potential but has struggled with right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .321 wOBA, .196 ISO
  • Pfaadt’s recent form suggests he could be in for a tough outing against a balanced Reds lineup.

Key Points:

• Abbott’s consistency makes him a safe play.
• Pfaadt’s struggles against right-handers could be a focal point for the Reds’ hitters.

Rockies @ Padres – 4:10 PM ET – Petco Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Austin Gomber (L) – Rockies: 8.15 DK points, 3.3 Ks
• Michael King (R) – Padres: 17.89 DK points, 7.0 Ks

Game Preview:

• Austin Gomber has struggled significantly against both left and right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .343 wOBA, .193 ISO
  • His overall struggles make him a high-risk option.
• Michael King has been excellent, especially against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .309 wOBA, .160 ISO
  • King’s strong performance makes him a top option for today.

Key Points:

• Gomber’s struggles against both sides of the plate make the Padres’ lineup appealing.
• King’s consistency and strikeout potential make him a top pitching option.

Royals @ Mariners – 4:10 PM ET – T-Mobile Park

Pitching Matchup:

• Alec Marsh (R) – Royals: 16.11 DK points, 6.0 Ks
• Bryan Woo (R) – Mariners: 13.39 DK points, 4.7 Ks

Game Preview:

• Alec Marsh has been inconsistent, particularly against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .358 wOBA, .240 ISO
  • His high walk rate makes him a risky option.
• Bryan Woo has shown potential, especially against right-handed hitters.
  • vR: .214 wOBA, .086 ISO
  • Woo’s ability to limit damage and strikeout potential makes him intriguing.

Key Points:

• Marsh’s inconsistency and high walk rate could be exploited by the Mariners.
• Woo’s strikeout potential and ability to limit right-handed hitters make him a strong play.

Conclusion

Today’s MLB DFS slate offers a variety of intriguing pitching matchups. Key insights into each game can help you make informed decisions for your DFS lineups. Remember to consider each pitcher’s strengths and weaknesses, as well as the matchups they face. Good luck!

The post MLB Daily Fantasy Preview Wednesday 5/15/24 Early Slate first appeared on OddsJamInsider.

1. Top Moneyline Pick: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs

• Why Bet: The Braves boast one of the strongest lineups in the league and are facing Shota Imanaga, whose stats are less intimidating compared to Atlanta’s hitting prowess. With the Braves’ lineup consistently performing well against left-handed pitching, the odds are in favor of Atlanta overcoming Chicago’s recent surge.
• Statistics: The Braves have a strong .446 xwOBA against lefties, which should play to their advantage against Imanaga.

2. Best Player Prop: Reynaldo Lopez (Strikeouts Over)

• Matchup: Braves vs. Cubs
• Why Bet: Lopez has shown he can rack up strikeouts and is facing a Cubs team that’s had moderate strikeout rates. Given his recent form and the Cubs’ tendency to swing and miss, betting on Lopez to exceed his strikeouts total offers good value.

3. Top Over/Under: Guardians vs. Rangers

• Why Bet on Over: Both Tanner Bibee and Michael Lorenzen have shown vulnerability this season, and with both teams possessing capable hitters, the game could easily turn into a high-scoring affair.
• Statistics: The Rangers’ lineup has been particularly potent, and with the over/under set at a reachable margin, it aligns well with potential game outcomes.

4. Underdog with Value: Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners

• Why Bet: The Royals are facing George Kirby, who, despite good overall stats, has struggled in previous outings against Kansas City. With the Royals at plus odds, they represent a valuable underdog bet.
• Statistics: The Royals have managed a .344 average against Kirby, suggesting they have his number.

5. Total Bases Prop: Mookie Betts (Over)

• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Giants
• Why Bet: Betts has been on a hot streak, and with the Dodgers’ lineup going up against a potentially weaker pitching setup from the Giants, betting on Betts to cover his total bases over seems like a smart pick.
• Statistics: Betts’ consistent hitting and power provide confidence in his ability to generate runs.

Summary:

This slate offers a blend of strong favorites, value underdogs, and player props based on detailed matchup analysis and recent performances. Each bet is selected based on statistical backing and matchup advantages, aiming to provide the best potential return for bettors.

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Kutter Crawford (Red Sox) – $8600

• Matchup: Rays @ Red Sox, Fenway Park
• Recent Form: Sporting a solid 23.1% K-rate over his last six games, Crawford has shown he can handle pressure, notably striking out 34 over 35.2 innings.
• Why He’s a Top Pick:
  • Strong against lefties with a 26.8% K-rate in recent games.
  • Fenway Park can favor pitchers with his groundball style (GB% of 37.5% against righties).
  • Recent game against Giants shows his capability to dominate, posting a zero ER and six strikeouts over 7.0 innings.

Zach Eflin (Rays) – $8200

• Matchup: Rays @ Red Sox, Fenway Park
• Recent Form: Despite a mixed last outing, Eflin’s ability to minimize hard contact (ISO vR at .163) and impressive 26.9% K-rate against right-handers this season stands out.
• Why He’s a Top Pick:
  • Effective against righties, important at Fenway.
  • Capable of deep outings, providing potential for high DFS points through innings pitched and strikeouts.

Sean Manaea (Mets) – $7200

• Matchup: Phillies @ Mets, Citi Field
• Recent Form: Manaea has shown he can punch out left-handers with a 33.3% K-rate over his last six games against them.
• Why He’s a Top Pick:
  • His strikeout upside, particularly against lefties, can rack up DFS points.
  • Favorable price point makes him an intriguing value play in a potentially pitcher-friendly environment at Citi Field.

Under the Radar Plays:

Chris Flexen (White Sox) – $5800

• • Why Consider: Coming off a strong performance against the Rays with an 8-strikeout game, Flexen’s low price and recent form offer great value. His ability to navigate through lineups despite a tough start to the season shows signs of turning the corner.

Trevor Williams (Nationals) – $7300

• • Why Consider: A consistent performer who doesn’t walk many hitters (7.5% BB rate this season), his control can lead to deep game outings, maximizing inning potential.

Key Insights & Matchup Details

Kutter Crawford:

• Weather Conditions: Mild temperatures and low precipitation risk at Fenway should provide a stable environment for Crawford to execute his pitches effectively.
• Opponent Watch: The Rays have struggled at times this season to consistently score, which could play into Crawford’s strengths, especially given his recent form.

Zach Eflin:

• Pitch Arsenal: Eflin relies heavily on his sinker (SI% of 32.5%) and cutter (25.9%), which could be effective against the Red Sox lineup that has shown vulnerability to groundball pitchers.

Sean Manaea:

• Critical Stat: Manaea’s high strikeout capability, particularly against lefties, could be crucial in a matchup against a Phillies lineup that has some key left-handed hitters.

Today’s DFS slate offers a mix of high-upside and value pitchers, each bringing something unique to the table. Whether you’re betting on strikeouts with Manaea, stability with Crawford, or seeking value with under-the-radar picks like Flexen, aligning these insights with your lineup strategy could be key to climbing the DFS ranks.

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