NBA Best Bets Tuesday 12/3/24
Today’s NBA slate is packed with 11 exciting matchups, offering plenty of opportunities for sharp betting. In this article, we’ll break down a few of the best bets across the slate, providing key insights and data to explain why these plays stand out.
Whether you’re looking to wager on spreads, totals, or player props, this breakdown will give you the information you need to make confident decisions. Let’s dive in!
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1. Philadelphia 76ers (-4) vs. Charlotte Hornets
Why This Bet Stands Out
The 76ers are favored on the road against a depleted Hornets squad missing key players like LaMelo Ball. Philadelphia’s defense ranks among the league’s best, while Charlotte has struggled offensively, sitting at 25th in offensive rating and scoring just 102 points per game recently.
Even though Philadelphia’s offense ranks only 28th, Tyrese Maxey’s recent surge as a primary playmaker gives them an edge against Charlotte’s defense, which ranks 18th in defensive rating. With Charlotte also ranking 27th in pace, the slow tempo should favor the more disciplined 76ers.
This is a great spot for Philly to cover a modest 4-point spread, leveraging their defense and superior playmakers.
2. Cleveland Cavaliers (-16) vs. Washington Wizards
Why This Bet Stands Out
This game has a huge spread, with the Cavaliers expected to dominate the struggling Wizards. However, the total of 236 feels a bit too high considering Cleveland’s elite defense, which ranks 6th in opponent points per game and 3rd in defensive rating.
The Wizards, meanwhile, rank dead last in offensive rating (30th) and lack the firepower to challenge Cleveland’s stout interior defense. Even if the Cavaliers pile up points behind Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland, the Wizards’ inefficiency should help keep this game under the total. Blowout potential also limits the scoring ceiling late in the game.
3. Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) vs. Detroit Pistons
Why This Bet Stands Out
This matchup carries extra significance as part of the NBA’s in-season tournament, and both teams will bring their best. While the Pistons have exceeded expectations in the tournament, they’ve lost 10 straight to the Bucks, a testament to Milwaukee’s dominance.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as probable, and his presence alongside Damian Lillard gives the Bucks a huge talent edge. Detroit’s defense ranks 11th in points allowed per game, but they’ve struggled to contain elite scorers, making this a prime spot for Milwaukee to continue their winning streak against this opponent.
The spread is small for a Bucks team that outpaces Detroit in offensive efficiency (12th vs. 23rd in offensive rating) and has the tournament stakes to push them to deliver.
4. Indiana Pacers (-1.5) vs. Toronto Raptors
Why This Bet Stands Out
This is the highest total on the slate, and for good reason. Both teams are fast-paced and efficient offensively:
- Pacers Pace Rank: 8th
- Raptors Pace Rank: 14th
- Pacers Offensive Rating Rank: 16th
- Raptors Offensive Rating Rank: 19th
Both defenses rank in the bottom half of the league in points allowed, and rebounding edges should create plenty of second-chance opportunities. Toronto is particularly strong on the glass (2nd in rebound percentage), while Indiana relies on their transition game and three-point shooting.
This matchup has all the makings of a shootout, and the high total still feels achievable given the pace and defensive vulnerabilities of both teams.
5. Denver Nuggets (-5.5) vs. Golden State Warriors
Why This Bet Stands Out
Nikola Jokic continues to dominate as the centerpiece of Denver’s offense, and this matchup against Golden State offers another prime opportunity for him to shine. The Warriors rank 7th in pace, creating extra possessions for Denver’s efficient offense (6th in offensive rating).
Jokic has been a near lock for triple-doubles against fast-paced teams that lack elite interior defense, and Golden State’s frontcourt is thin without Draymond Green. The Nuggets’ implied total of 121.8 suggests plenty of scoring opportunities, and Jokic should be at the heart of it all.
This prop bet offers great value, especially at plus money, for a player who consistently racks up points, rebounds, and assists in high-paced matchups.
Final Thoughts
Today’s NBA slate offers a little bit of everything, from high-scoring shootouts to defensive grinds. Whether you’re betting on spreads, totals, or player props, focusing on matchups and team dynamics is key to making profitable decisions.
For even more betting tools and insights, check out Oddsjam. With features like Promo Finder, Arbitrage Bets, Positive Expected Value (+EV) Bets, and a Bet Tracker, Oddsjam helps you find the edge you need to maximize your betting success. Try it out today with a 7-day free trial and start turning insights into winnings!
Good luck with your bets, and let’s cash some tickets! 🚀