Hey everyone, let’s get into today’s MLB slate. We’ve got some intriguing matchups, and I’ll break down the top bets you should consider for today’s games. I’ll be highlighting key player and team insights to explain why each pick stands out. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just getting started, I’ll keep it easy to follow. Let’s go!
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Lean: Phillies Team Total Over 4.5
The Phillies have struggled offensively in recent games, but today’s matchup against Taj Bradley should give them a chance to bounce back. Bradley is a high-velocity pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball, and the Phillies have been solid against that pitch type this season. They’ve had a couple of low-scoring games, but with the quality of bats in this lineup, a breakout is due.
- Key Points:
- Phillies face a fastball-heavy pitcher in Taj Bradley.
- The Phillies’ offense is due for a bounce-back after two low-scoring games.
- Bradley has struggled in recent outings, making this a favorable spot for Philadelphia’s bats.
Total Lean: Over 7.5
Both teams have the potential to put up runs today, and while Ranger Suárez has been steady for the Phillies, Atlanta’s potent lineup makes the over a solid lean in this spot.
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
Lean: Yankees Moneyline
Seth Lugo takes the mound for the Yankees, and while he’s had some inconsistent outings this season, he’s coming off back-to-back strong starts. Kansas City has struggled offensively, and their pitching rotation hasn’t been able to shut down opposing lineups. The Yankees’ offense woke up yesterday, scoring 10 runs, and that momentum could carry into today.
- Key Points:
- Yankees’ offense came alive yesterday with 10 runs.
- Seth Lugo is coming off two strong starts, showing improved form.
- Kansas City has struggled both offensively and with their pitching.
Total Lean: Over 8.5
Both Lugo and Marcus Stroman have had shaky moments this season, and with the Yankees’ offense heating up, I lean toward the over. Kansas City may struggle to win, but they should contribute enough runs to push the total over.
Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics
Lean: Astros First 5 Innings Run Line -0.5
Houston sends Spencer Arrighetti to the mound, and despite a rough outing last time, he’s in a good spot to bounce back against a weak Oakland lineup. The Astros’ offense is far superior, and with the A’s consistently at the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, this feels like a good spot to take Houston early.
- Key Points:
- Astros’ offense is vastly superior to Oakland’s.
- Spencer Arrighetti looks to rebound after a tough start.
- Oakland’s offense ranks near the bottom in runs scored and batting average.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
Lean: Diamondbacks Team Total Over 3.5
Arizona is at home and sends ace Zac Gallen to the mound. The Diamondbacks have hit well all season, and Nathan Eovaldi’s road struggles give Arizona an edge here. The D-backs’ offense, led by Corbin Carroll, has shown they can capitalize on mistakes, and Eovaldi’s recent road splits suggest they’ll have opportunities to score.
- Key Points:
- Zac Gallen is pitching, providing confidence for the D-backs to win.
- Eovaldi has struggled on the road this season.
- Arizona’s offense is explosive and capable of pushing the team total over.
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Lean: Brewers Moneyline
This one’s a bit tricky without confirmed pitchers, but Milwaukee has the edge offensively. The Brewers have a solid lineup, and with San Francisco’s pitching rotation being inconsistent, I lean toward Milwaukee taking this one.
Final Thoughts
That’s it for today’s MLB Best Bets! Be sure to shop around for the best lines, and remember to maximize your betting and fantasy picks with Oddsjam. With Oddsjam, you can find the best value in the market with tools like the Promo Finder, Positive Expected Value Bets, and the Bet Tracker.
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Good luck today, and let’s cash those bets!
