Welcome to today’s MLB DFS pitching preview! We’ll dive into each game, focusing on the pitching matchups and the overall game context to set the stage for today’s DFS contests. Here’s what to look out for across the board:
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- Time: 7:05 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Yankee Stadium
- Pitching Matchup: Tyler Alexander (LHP, Rays) vs. Clarke Schmidt (RHP, Yankees)
- Vegas Line: NYY -156, Total: 9
Key Insights:
- Alexander struggles with a high expected ERA of 4.28 and a batting average allowed that suggests hitters are making quality contact.
- Schmidt offers a more stable option, with better ground ball rates but also carries some risk with a moderate strikeout rate.
Oakland Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Time: 7:10 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Progressive Field
- Pitching Matchup: Joe Boyle (RHP, Athletics) vs. Triston McKenzie (RHP, Guardians)
- Vegas Line: CLE -178, Total: 8
Key Insights:
- Boyle shows promise with a decent strikeout percentage but struggles with control (11% BB%).
- McKenzie has alarming expected and actual ERAs over 5.00, making him a potential target for DFS lineups despite being a favorite.
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves
- Time: 7:20 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Truist Park
- Pitching Matchup: Andrew Heaney (LHP, Rangers) vs. Chris Sale (LHP, Braves)
- Vegas Line: ATL -188, Total: 9.5
Key Insights:
- Heaney offers a stable WHIP but has vulnerability in power matchups.
- Sale has a strong strikeout ability but an ERA that doesn’t fully reflect his underlying metrics which could provide DFS value.
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals
- Time: 7:40 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Kauffman Stadium
- Pitching Matchup: Dean Kremer (RHP, Orioles) vs. Alec Marsh (RHP, Royals)
- Vegas Line: BAL -136, Total: 9
Key Insights:
- Kremer shows solid performance despite a higher expected ERA.
- Marsh‘s expected and actual ERAs indicate he is more vulnerable, potentially giving an edge to Orioles hitters.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
- Time: 8:10 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Target Field
- Pitching Matchup: Jack Flaherty (RHP, Tigers) vs. Joe Ryan (RHP, Twins)
- Vegas Line: MIN -144, Total: 7.5
Key Insights:
- Flaherty and Ryan both have respectable stats, but Ryan’s exceptional strikeout percentage and low xERA highlight him as the more dominant pitcher in this duel.
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Time: 8:15 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Busch Stadium
- Pitching Matchup: Freddy Peralta (RHP, Brewers) vs. Kyle Gibson (RHP, Cardinals)
- Vegas Line: MIL -118, Total: 7.5
Key Insights:
- Peralta shines with excellent strikeout capabilities and a solid ERA.
- Gibson struggles mightily with the highest expected ERA on today’s slate, making Brewers bats appealing in DFS.
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
- Time: 8:40 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Coors Field
- Pitching Matchup: Emerson Hancock (RHP, Mariners) vs. Dakota Hudson (RHP, Rockies)
- Vegas Line: SEA -142, Total: 11
Key Insights:
- High total suggests offensive fireworks, particularly against Hudson, who offers the lowest strikeout rate and a high GB%.
- Hancock also faces challenges at Coors, indicated by his high expected metrics.
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres
- Time: 9:40 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Petco Park
- Pitching Matchup: Yariel Rodríguez (RHP, Blue Jays) vs. Matt Waldron (RHP, Padres)
- Vegas Line: SD -116, Total: 8.5
Key Insights:
- Rodríguez has a high expected ERA, suggesting potential for Padres hitters.
- Waldron offers slightly better control, which might keep the scoring in check despite the competitive line.
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Time: 10:10 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Dodger Stadium
- Pitching Matchup: Sean Manaea (LHP, Mets) vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP, Dodgers)
- Vegas Line: LAD -200, Total: 8.5
Key Insights:
- Manaea faces a tough Dodgers lineup, reflected in his high expected ERA.
- Yamamoto stands out as a top pitcher with stellar metrics, a must-consider for DFS given his matchup advantage.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants
- Time: 10:15 PM EDT
- Ballpark: Oracle Park
- Pitching Matchup: Jordan Montgomery (LHP, Diamondbacks) vs. Blake Snell (LHP, Giants)
- Vegas Line: SF -132, Total: 7.5
Key Insights:
- Montgomery and Snell both have good strikeout percentages but vary in control and efficiency, with Snell potentially offering more upside in DFS due to his high strikeout upside and lower ERA.
This wraps up our pitching preview for today’s MLB DFS slate. Each matchup has its quirks and key players, making today an intriguing puzzle for DFS enthusiasts. Stay tuned for our hitters and stacks analysis coming up next to complete your DFS strategy!
