NBA Player Prop Bets for Wednesday 10/25/23

Player props have become the hidden gem of sports betting. They offer a unique opportunity to dive deep into the game, analyzing individual player performances. Today, we’re bringing you three NBA player prop bets for Wednesday, October 25th, 2023. These bets aren’t just about winning; they’re about exploring the intricacies of the game and finding value. Let’s dive right in!

Isaiah Stewart Over 16.5 Points + Rebounds (+102)

The Detroit Pistons might not be the hottest team in basketball, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value in their player props. One player to keep an eye on is Isaiah Stewart. Last season, he averaged 11.3 points and 8.6 rebounds in just 28.3 minutes per game. This season, he’s taking on a more prominent role as the starting forward/center alongside big man Jalen Duren.

Stewart’s performance when playing alongside Duren last season was impressive, with averages of 11.7 points and 8.1 rebounds. On the other side of the court, the Miami Heat had some weaknesses, particularly in opponent putback scoring frequency, ranking fifth-highest in the league. This weakness presents an opportunity for Stewart to not only grab rebounds but also score points, making the over 16.5 points + rebounds prop enticing.

Stewart excels in the paint, and Miami’s defense in this area isn’t dominant, ranking 17th in points allowed to forwards and 14th to centers. With the Pistons missing their leading scorer, Bojan Bogdanovic, due to injury, Stewart’s chances look even better.

Key Points: ➤ Stewart’s past performance suggests he can surpass 16.5 points + rebounds. ➤ Miami’s weaknesses in opponent putback scoring frequency and points allowed in the paint. ➤ Bogdanovic’s absence creates an opportunity for Stewart.

Jakob Poeltl Over 10.5 Points (-113)

Jakob Poeltl is another player flying under the radar this season. With an average of 12.5 points per game last year, he’s a reliable scorer. This season, as the starting center for the Toronto Raptors, he’s poised to maintain a similar role, with projections putting him at around 29.6 minutes of play.

Last season, Poeltl scored 11 or more points in 26 out of 34 games when he played at least 27 minutes. Historically, this means he has a 76.5% chance of clearing the 10.5 points prop—a significant difference from the implied probability of 53.1%.

The Minnesota Timberwolves, Toronto’s opponent, doesn’t provide strong resistance against centers, ranking seventh in points allowed to this position. They also struggle against the pick-and-roll, where Poeltl excels, ranking 10th in points scored off the pick-and-roll last season. Poeltl boasts an impressive 62.9% field goal percentage, further supporting his chances of scoring 11 points.

Key Points: ➤ Poeltl’s history suggests a high likelihood of scoring over 10.5 points. ➤ Minnesota’s weaknesses in defending centers and pick-and-roll. ➤ Poeltl’s impressive field goal percentage.

Mitchell Robinson to Record A Double-Double (+500)

Mitchell Robinson may be considered a long-shot for recording a double-double in the New York Knicks’ season opener, but history suggests otherwise. Last season, he averaged 7.4 points and 9.4 rebounds per game. While these numbers may not stand out, Robinson has the ability to shine on the stat sheet when given the chance.

In fact, he recorded 13 double-doubles in 59 games last season, which translates to a higher percentage than the implied probability for this game. Facing the Boston Celtics, who struggled with defensive rebounds last season, Robinson is in a good position. Against Boston last year, he averaged 13.5 rebounds per game, showcasing his rebounding prowess.

Robinson’s scoring primarily comes from the paint, and Boston’s defense in this area isn’t stellar, ranking 15th in points allowed to centers and 24th to forwards. With Boston missing Robert Williams, their interior defense takes a hit, benefiting Robinson.

Robinson also excels in putback points and draws fouls, potentially earning him points at the free-throw line. Despite his poor foul-shooting record last season, this could work to his advantage, given the 3.5-point game spread.

Considering Robinson’s past success against the Celtics and their recent acquisition of Kristaps Porzingis, he’s a player worth betting on for a double-double.

Key Points: ➤ Robinson’s history of recording double-doubles. ➤ Boston’s weaknesses in defensive rebounds and points allowed in the paint. ➤ Robinson’s ability to draw fouls and score from putbacks.

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Sports betting is more than just placing wagers; it’s about making informed decisions and maximizing your opportunities. These player prop bets are just a glimpse into the world of sports betting, and with OddsJam by your side, you can explore it further. Remember, the game isn’t just about winning money; it’s about the thrill of the chase and the knowledge that comes with it. Happy betting!