Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Wild Card Series Preview

The MLB regular season has come to a thrilling close, leaving us with an exciting Wild Card series showdown. In the National League, the Arizona Diamondbacks, runners-up in the NL West, are set to clash with the NL Central champions, the Milwaukee Brewers. These Wild Card series are a best-of-three format, all hosted in one city.

Game 1 is scheduled for Tuesday at 7 p.m. EST at American Family Field, where the host Brewers (-174 ML) are the favorites for the opening contest. The starting pitchers for this matchup are righties Corbin Burnes and Brandon Pfaadt.

All MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook.
Updated October 3rd, 2023 at 12:30 p.m. EST

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers NL Wild Card Series: Moneyline, Total Games, and Correct Score

Series Moneyline:

Diamondbacks: +126
Brewers: -154

Total Games:

2 (-113)
3 (-106)

Correct Score:

Brewers 2-0 (+180)
Brewers 2-1 (+280)
Diamondbacks 2-0 (+390)
Diamondbacks 2-1 (+280)

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Advanced Stats Breakdown

Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs.

Diamondbacks (84-78/2nd NL West):

nERD: -0.05 (22nd)
Run differential: -15 (16th)
Home record: 43-38 (14th)
Away record: 41-40 (T10th)
OPS: .730 (17th)
HR/game: 1.02 (23rd)
wOBA: .317 (17th)
ERA: 4.48 (20th)
K%: 20.4% (27th)
BB%: 8.8% (16th)

Brewers (92-70/1st NL Central):

nERD: 0.69 (13th)
Run differential: +81 (T11th)
Home record: 49-32 (T5th)
Away record: 43-38 (T8th)
OPS: .704 (23rd)
HR/game: 1.02 (24th)
wOBA: .309 (22nd)
ERA: 3.71 (1st)
K%: 23.2% (14th)
BB%: 9.7% (third-worst)

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers NL Wild Card Series Analysis

After a postseason absence last year, Milwaukee is back in the playoffs, marking their fifth appearance in the last six seasons. Over this period, they’ve clinched three division titles, including the 2023 NL Central championship, and made it to the NLCS in 2018.

For the Arizona Diamondbacks, this is their first playoff appearance since 2017 when they were swiftly swept by the Los Angeles Dodgers. With only seven postseason appearances since their establishment in 1998, they aim to leave a more memorable mark this time.

The Brewers’ strength lies in their efficient pitching, boasting an MLB-best team ERA of 3.71 in 2023. With pitchers like Corbin Burnes and experienced veteran Wade Miley, backed by effective closer Devin Williams, their mound presence is formidable.

The Diamondbacks, while not as consistent on the mound as the Brewers, have their bright spots. Pitcher Zac Gallen was a standout with a 17-9 record, and Merrill Kelly provided quality as their second starter.

Offensively, the Brewers feature a strong core including Christian Yelich, Willy Adames, and William Contreras. In a home series, can they generate enough firepower to advance to the NLDS?

On the other side, the Diamondbacks showcase young talent with Corbin Carroll, a potential 2023 NL Rookie of the Year, known for his power and speed. He’s supported by sluggers Ketel Marte and Christian Walker.

In their 2023 matchups, the Diamondbacks won four out of six head-to-head games against Milwaukee, gaining confidence as they head into the series. But can they translate this success into a playoff victory?

Final note: Arizona began the year with +490 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to qualify for the 2023 MLB postseason.

FAQ

Q1: What are the odds for the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Wild Card series?

A: The Diamondbacks are at +126, while the Brewers are the favorites at -154.

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