Player props can be a game-changer in your MLB betting strategy. Whether you’re a seasoned pro or just getting started, understanding player prop bets can give you an edge. In this article, we’ll break down three MLB player prop bets for the upcoming games on October 3rd, 2023, using the power of Oddsjam, Odds Jam, Fanduel Sportsbook, and Scores and Odds to help you make informed decisions.
Please keep in mind that betting lines and projections can shift, so make sure to check the latest odds before placing your bets. Additionally, weather conditions can impact games, so stay tuned for updates as game day approaches.
MLB Prop Bets to Target
Christian Yelich To Hit A Home Run (+500)
The Milwaukee Brewers are gearing up for Game 1 of the NL Wild Card against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Brandon Pfaadt is on the mound for the D’Backs, but he hasn’t been living up to the ace status. With a 5.72 ERA and eight home runs allowed in his last seven starts, Pfaadt is vulnerable.
Christian Yelich, despite not reaching his previous MVP levels, shines against right-handed pitchers with a .378 wOBA, .489 slugging percentage, and a 21.6% HR/FB ratio. This matchup favors Yelich as Pfaadt struggles against lefties, allowing a .534 slugging percentage and a colossal 2.22 home runs per nine innings.
With +500 odds, Yelich is an exciting choice to hit a home run. If you prefer a safer bet, consider Christian Yelich To Record A Run (-130). He leads off for Milwaukee and has the stats to back up his performance.
Leody Taveras To Record 2+ Bases (+175)
The Texas Rangers secured a playoff spot and face the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card. Tyler Glasnow is Tampa’s ace against right-handed batters, holding them to a mere .164 batting average and a .211 wOBA.
However, Glasnow struggles against lefties, giving them a .311 wOBA and a 20.5% HR/FB ratio. This sets the stage for Leody Taveras, who has solid numbers against right-handed pitchers with a .329 wOBA and a .449 slugging percentage. Fresh off a strong September, Taveras is in good form.
Taveras excels against fastballs and sliders, which Glasnow heavily relies on. With Taveras at +175 odds to record two-plus bases, this is a compelling prop. For a more conservative option, consider Leody Taveras To Record A Hit at -160, a projection supported by numberFire.
Jesús Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-140)
The Miami Marlins have clinched a playoff berth and face the Philadelphia Phillies. Jesús Luzardo takes the mound, and strikeouts are on the horizon. The Phillies have a high strikeout rate, especially in the final month of the regular season.
Luzardo boasts a 28.1% strikeout rate, ranking seventh in MLB, and averages 10.48 Ks per nine innings, ranking eighth. With a potentially lengthy outing and a bullpen that doesn’t inspire confidence, Luzardo should get the chance to rack up strikeouts.
In the last 12 starts where Luzardo pitched six or more innings, he struck out at least six batters in nearly every game. In his 12.1 innings against Philadelphia this season, he struck out 14 batters.
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