Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, and More for AL Wild Card Game 1

Are you ready for some thrilling postseason baseball action? It’s Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series, and the Minnesota Twins are set to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays on October 3, 2023. With playoff implications on the line, let’s dive into the predictions, odds, moneyline, spread, and over/under for this exciting showdown!

Twins vs Blue Jays Game Info

  • Teams: Minnesota Twins (87-75) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (89-73)
  • Date: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
  • Time: 4:38 PM ET
  • Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Coverage: ESPN

Twins vs Blue Jays Odds & Moneyline

All your MLB odds, betting lines, and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook. Here’s the current moneyline and spread:

  • Moneyline: MIN: (-116) | TOR: (-102)
  • Spread: MIN: +1.5 (-192) | TOR: -1.5 (+158)
  • Total: 7.5
    • Over: (-115)
    • Under: (-105)

Probable Starting Pitchers

The pitching matchup features Pablo Lopez (Twins) and Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays):

  • Pablo Lopez (Twins): 11-8, 3.71 ERA
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): 12-9, 3.16 ERA

Here’s a quick look at their performance:

  • Pablo Lopez’s team has won 68% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-8).
  • The Blue Jays have an 11-20-0 record against the spread in Gausman’s starts.

Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction & Pick

According to numberFire, the prediction leans toward the Twins with a 50.7% win probability. Here’s a breakdown:

  • Prediction: Twins win (50.7%)

Moneyline, Spread, and Over/Under Insights

  • Minnesota is a -116 favorite on the moneyline, while Toronto is a -102 underdog on the road.
  • The Blue Jays are 1.5-run favorites against the spread. The Twins are -192 to cover as a 1.5-run underdog on the runline.
  • The over/under is set at 7.5, with the over at -115 and the under at -105.

Bet on the Game!

Ready to make your bet? Head over to FanDuel and get in on the action!

Twins vs Blue Jays Betting Trends

Here are some key betting trends to consider:

Twins:

  • Favored in 108 games this year, winning 59.3% of them.
  • A record of 62-41 when favored by -116 or more.
  • Games have gone over the total in 78 of 159 opportunities.
  • Record against the spread: 76-83-0 this season.

Blue Jays:

  • Underdog 42 times this season, winning 57.1% of those games.
  • 17-12 (58.6% win rate) when playing as an underdog of -102 or longer.
  • Games with a set over/under have gone over the total 70 times out of 161.
  • ATS record: 74-87-0 this season.

Players to Watch

Twins Player Leaders:

  • Max Kepler: .484 slugging percentage, .260 batting average, .332 on-base percentage.
  • Willi Castro: 18 doubles, five triples, nine home runs, and 34 walks.
  • Edouard Julien: 88 base hits, .377 OBP, .454 slugging percentage.
  • Jorge Polanco: 14 home runs, 48 RBI, .255 batting average.

Blue Jays Player Leaders:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: .345 on-base percentage, .264 batting average, .444 slugging percentage.
  • George Springer: .256 batting average, 25 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs, and 60 walks.
  • Bo Bichette: Team-best slugging percentage (.473) and leader in hits (174).
  • Whit Merrifield: .272 batting average, 27 doubles, 11 home runs, and 36 walks.

Head-to-Head History

Looking back at recent matchups:

  • 5/28/2023: 3-0 TOR
  • 6/9/2023: 3-2 MIN
  • 6/11/2023: 7-6 TOR
  • 6/10/2023: 9-4 MIN
  • 5/27/2023: 9-7 MIN
  • 5/26/2023: 3-1 TOR
  • 6/5/2022: 8-6 MIN
  • 6/4/2022: 12-3 TOR
  • 6/3/2022: 9-3 MIN
  • 8/7/2022: 3-2 TOR

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Disclaimer: All odds and statistics mentioned in this article are subject to change. Make sure to check the latest updates on FanDuel Sportsbook before placing your bets.

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