Are you ready to make some profitable bets this Independence Day? Look no further! In this article, we’ll provide you with four sharp MLB picks and predictions for Tuesday. These betting selections have been carefully analyzed to give you the best chances of success. So grab your Fanduel Sportsbook account, get ready to bet online, and let’s dive into the picks!
Four Sharp MLB Picks and Predictions for July 4th
1. New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Our first pick takes us to a matchup between the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles. Although we may not have a strong preference for either team, we’ve identified some great value in this game. Pinnacle sportsbook offers the Yankees at -121 and the Orioles at +112. The narrow nine-cent market width signifies high confidence from the sportsbooks. This is especially true for Pinnacle, known for their sharp odds. Other sportsbooks, such as BetUS and BetOnline, also favor the Yankees but at slightly different odds.
To determine if this bet has expected value (EV), we can use OddsJam’s free tools. By plugging Pinnacle’s odds (-121 and +112) into the no-vig fair odds calculator, we find that the Yankees have a win probability just under 54%. Using an expected value calculator, we can then calculate the potential ROI. Let’s say we bet $250 on the Yankees moneyline at -112 on BetUS. The expected value comes out to 2.54 cents, indicating a positive expected return. So why not take advantage of this great value? Lock in your bet at BetUS and get ready to root for the Yankees!
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2. San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels
Our second pick features a clash between the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Angels. Once again, we’re not concerned about team allegiances but rather the value the sportsbooks offer. Pinnacle sets the Padres at -112 and the Angels at +104. By comparing the odds across various sportsbooks, we find that BetOnline provides the best value for the Angels at +110.
To assess the EV, we follow the same steps as before. Pinnacle’s odds result in a win probability of approximately 51.87%. Plugging this percentage into the expected value calculator, we can calculate the potential ROI. Let’s say we bet $200 on the Padres moneyline at -105 on BetOnline. The expected value turns out to be 2.54 cents, indicating a positive EV. Take advantage of this favorable opportunity and place your bet at BetOnline.
3. Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Guardians
In our third pick, we turn our attention to the Atlanta Braves and the Cleveland Guardians. Pinnacle offers the Braves at -123 and the Guardians at +113. By comparing the odds, we find that Win Bet MGM provides the best value for the Braves at -115.
Using the same methodology as before, we calculate the win probability based on Pinnacle’s odds, which comes out to approximately 54%. Plugging this percentage into the expected value calculator, we can calculate the potential ROI. Let’s say we bet $250 on the Braves moneyline at -115 on Win Bet MGM. The expected value is positive, indicating a profitable opportunity. Lock in your bet at Win Bet MGM and get ready to cheer on the Braves!
4. Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
For our fourth and final pick, we look at the Miami Marlins facing the St. Louis Cardinals. Caesars offers the Marlins’ under at -105, which presents a fantastic opportunity. The next best odds are found at Hard Rock, but they fall short at -110. Pinnacle sets the odds at -119.
To assess the potential value, we utilize the same process as earlier. By plugging Pinnacle’s odds into the no-vig calculator, we find that the win probability is just under 53%. Calculating the expected value using an appropriate calculator, we can assess the ROI. Suppose we bet $225 on the under at -105 on Caesars. The expected value shows potential profit, indicating a positive EV. Don’t miss out on this opportunity and place your bet at Caesars.
Embrace the Power of OddsJam
OddsJam offers a wide range of tools to enhance your betting experience. From their comprehensive parlay builder feature to their positive EV tool, OddsJam equips you with the knowledge you need to make informed decisions and maximize your profits. Don’t forget to try out their Bet Tracker, a valuable tool for tracking your betting activity.
FAQs
1. Are these MLB picks guaranteed to win? No, there are no guarantees in sports betting. However, these picks are based on careful analysis and offer value based on the odds provided by reputable sportsbooks.
2. Do I need to have accounts with all the mentioned sportsbooks? No, it’s not necessary to have accounts with every sportsbook mentioned. You can choose the sportsbook that offers the best odds for the specific pick you are interested in.
3. How do I calculate expected value (EV)? Expected value is calculated by determining the win probability and the odds offered by the sportsbook. By multiplying the win probability by the potential payout, you can assess the potential profitability of a bet.
4. Can I track my bets with OddsJam? Yes, OddsJam offers a convenient Bet Tracker tool to help you track your bets and analyze your betting performance. Sign up for a free 7-day trial to access this feature.
5. Are there other valuable resources available on OddsJam? Absolutely! OddsJam provides a wealth of educational resources, including articles on profitable betting strategies and tips for dominating daily fantasy sports. Check out their insider articles for more valuable insights.
Make the most of your July 4th celebrations by placing intelligent bets on these MLB games. Remember to gamble responsibly, and may the odds be in your favor!
