3 Winning MLB Player Prop Bets for Friday 9/1/23
If you’re looking to elevate your sports betting game and seize profitable opportunities, then diving into player prop bets can be a strategy to consider. Beyond enhancing your potential returns, these wagers can also be valuable tools for refining your daily fantasy baseball lineup on platforms like FanDuel. In this article, we’ll shift our focus to the exciting world of player prop bets, guided by the insightful projections from Oddsjam.
Harnessing Oddsjam’s Expertise: MLB Player Prop Insights
Harnessing the analytical prowess of Oddsjam, we’ve identified a trio of compelling MLB player prop bets for the upcoming action. As these insights are based on projections, it’s important to remain aware that both betting lines and game projections could evolve over the course of the day. Additionally, weather conditions may come into play in certain locations.
1. Adam Duvall to Crush a Home Run (+350)
The Boston Red Sox are poised for an explosive offensive display, and it’s a scenario that could translate into multiple home runs. Tonight’s clash against the Kansas City Royals features a matchup that favors the Sox, with Jordan Lyles taking the mound for the Royals. However, Lyles’ pitching record this season leaves much to be desired, especially in the home run department.
Over his last five starts, Lyles has surrendered a staggering 11 home runs. This vulnerability is further evident in his season statistics, including a .342 wOBA, .509 SLG, and 5.38 xFIP. Notably, Lyles has yielded 2.04 home runs per 9 innings and possesses a 50.4% fly-ball rate against right-handed hitters.
Given the conducive conditions including warmer weather and a favorable wind, the prospect of balls sailing over the outfield fence is promising. Keeping an eye on Adam Duvall becomes essential, as he’s been scorching the ball with a recent streak of four home runs in five games. Duvall’s impressive exit velocities, reaching over 100 MPH, only underscore his power-hitting prowess.
With a 153 wRC+, .402 wOBA, and a 55.4% fly-ball rate against right-handed pitchers this season, Duvall presents a compelling case for prop betting success. Enhancing the potential return, consider adding Duvall to Record an RBI (+105) to your wager portfolio.
2. Jose Altuve’s Dominance: 2+ Total Bases (+110)
Embracing simplicity can often lead to substantial gains, and this philosophy is aptly illustrated in Jose Altuve’s prop bet potential. The Houston Astros are set to face Carlos Rodon, whose performance this season hasn’t been stellar. With a .345 wOBA, .461 SLG, and a 5.65 xFIP against righties, Rodon is facing an uphill battle against a potent Astros offense.
Altuve, boasting a 143 wRC+, .377 wOBA, and a 35.7% hard-contact rate against lefties, holds a promising profile for generating offense. His ability to put the ball in play, coupled with his knack for avoiding strikeouts, bodes well for his chances of accumulating at least two bases.
3. Gunnar Henderson to Deliver an RBI (+125)
The Baltimore Orioles’ offensive prowess sets the stage for an engaging matchup, and an RBI prop bet emerges as a favorable avenue for wagering success. With a solid 4.84 implied run total, the Orioles are poised to make a significant impact on the scoreboard.
Facing off against Zach Davies of the Arizona Diamondbacks, the odds are tipped in favor of the Orioles. Davies has shown vulnerability to lefties this season, conceding a .356 wOBA, .445 SLG, and a 5.20 xFIP. These figures underscore his susceptibility, creating an opportunity for the Orioles’ hitters.
Enter Gunnar Henderson, a player who checks all the right boxes for this prop bet. Sporting a 134 wRC+, .354 wOBA, and an impressive 45.9% hard-contact rate against righties, Henderson’s profile aligns perfectly with the requirements for an RBI. With his impressive track record and the Orioles’ offensive firepower, Henderson’s contribution to the run-scoring efforts seems highly plausible.
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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is based on projections and statistics as of the publication date. Betting lines and game projections may change, and it’s important to stay updated on the latest developments.