If you’re an NFL enthusiast, you know that player props can be a goldmine for smart bettors. Whether you’re looking to capitalize on these bets outright or seeking an edge in daily fantasy football on FanDuel, we’ve got you covered. In this article, we’ll delve into three enticing NFL player prop bets for Week 1 that are worth your consideration. Keep in mind that betting lines and game projections may shift, so stay updated. Additionally, weather conditions could impact some games, so it’s wise to keep an eye on that too.
Calvin Ridley Any Time Touchdown (+135)
We kick off our Week 1 player prop picks with Calvin Ridley, who now dons the jersey of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Ridley joined the Jaguars late last season, adding firepower to their already impressive receiving corps. The Jaguars’ 2022 season started sluggishly but gained momentum, thanks in large part to the performance of their quarterback, Trevor Lawrence.
When it comes to wide receiver props, it’s not just about having talented wideouts; a skilled quarterback is equally crucial. Trevor Lawrence fits that bill perfectly. In 2022, the Jaguars boasted a 59.40% pass play percentage, ranking 12th in the league. However, during the last three games of the season, this percentage surged to 69.49%, placing them second-highest in the league.
Why is this significant? It reflects the trust that Lawrence enjoys to air the ball via the passing game, setting the stage for increased production by the receivers.
To start the season, Ridley and the Jaguars face the Indianapolis Colts, who field the 31st-ranked secondary according to PFF. This presents an elite matchup for both Ridley and Lawrence to kick off the year on a high note.
Preseason glimpses showed Ridley’s strong connection with Lawrence, albeit in a limited sample size. Everything is aligned for Ridley to notch his first touchdown in Jaguars colors.
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Chris Olave Over 66.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
In Week 1, the New Orleans Saints find themselves in a bind, especially in their running back department. Alvin Kamara is suspended for the first three games, and backup Kendre Miller is nursing a knee injury, missing practice on Wednesday and Thursday. This leaves Jamaal Williams and Kirk Merritt as the only listed running backs on their roster.
With the running back situation uncertain, the Saints could pivot towards a pass-heavy strategy against the Tennessee Titans. After all, they secured Derek Carr with a substantial contract during the offseason, signaling a strong intent to utilize their passing game.
And speaking of passing, Carr should find it relatively easy against the Titans, who boast the 26th-ranked secondary according to PFF.
All signs point to a favorable matchup for Chris Olave to rack up the receiving yards. Last season, Olave commanded a 26.7% target share, averaging 69.5 receiving yards per game, 112.4 air yards per game, 41.5% air yards share, and a 14.1 average depth of target (aDOT) – all team-high stats.
Olave is poised for not just a strong Week 1 performance but potentially a stellar season ahead.
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Tyler Higbee Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
In Week 1, an injury-related situation in the Los Angeles Rams’ roster opens up opportunities for Tyler Higbee. The Rams recently announced that Cooper Kupp will be sidelined for their game against the Seattle Seahawks. Without Kupp, the Rams’ receiving corps skews younger and less experienced.
It’s worth noting that the Rams are +4.5 road underdogs against the Seahawks, with a healthy 46.5-point over/under. If the Rams find themselves playing from behind, they’ll likely lean on the passing game to put points on the board.
Last season, the Seahawks struggled against tight ends, allowing 1,115 receiving yards, averaging 65.5 yards per game. Higbee is coming off a career season, and with Kupp absent to begin the year, he has a golden opportunity to lead the Rams’ receiving corps.
These player prop bets offer intriguing opportunities for NFL fans and bettors alike. Remember to stay updated with shifting odds and game conditions as you embark on your Week 1 betting journey.
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