3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football: Week 6

The NFL season is in full swing, and with it comes the excitement of Thursday Night Football. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or a daily fantasy football enthusiast, player prop bets can add an extra layer of thrill to the game. In this article, we’ll dive into three NFL player prop bets for Week 6 that could make your Thursday night even more exciting.

Why Player Props Matter

Player props aren’t just for the seasoned bettor; they’re also a valuable tool for daily fantasy football players on FanDuel. These bets allow you to measure a player’s potential performance and can be a goldmine if you know where to look.

At OddsJam, we take the guesswork out of the equation by using numberFire’s projections as our guide. With these insights, we can identify player prop bets that offer value and make watching the game even more thrilling.

So, let’s get into it and explore three player prop bets for Thursday Night Football in Week 6.

Patrick Mahomes Under 272.5 Passing Yards (-114)

The Week 6 kickoff features the Kansas City Chiefs as 10.5-point home favorites against the Denver Broncos. However, there are a couple of key factors to consider for this game.

First, star tight end Travis Kelce is dealing with an ankle injury and has been limited in practice this week. Second, the weather is expected to be a factor, with wind speeds sustained at 15-20 mph, gusting up to 30 mph, and a chance of rain.

Weather conditions can significantly impact game dynamics. In windy conditions, teams tend to rely on shorter passes or the run game. Given the Chiefs’ status as heavy favorites and the potential weather-related challenges, it’s a good bet that Patrick Mahomes will go under 272.5 passing yards.

Mahomes has already fallen short of this mark in three of the five games this season, with two of those instances occurring when the Chiefs were favorites by 8.0 and 12.5 points. If Kelce isn’t at his best or doesn’t play, it will further hinder the Chiefs’ offensive efficiency. Factor in the wind, and it becomes clear that Mahomes may not reach the projected yardage.

Key Takeaways:

➤ Kelce’s injury and weather conditions create uncertainty for the Chiefs’ passing game.

➤ Mahomes has fallen short of 272.5 passing yards in multiple games this season.

Isiah Pacheco Longest Rush Over 16.5 Yards (-114)

Isiah Pacheco is in an enviable position this week with an excellent matchup. The Denver Broncos have allowed a staggering 821 rushing yards to opposing running backs this season, the highest in the league by a wide margin.

Additionally, the anticipated windy and rainy conditions could lead to more running plays, which plays directly into Pacheco’s strengths.

Pacheco has already showcased his ability to break off long runs this season, with runs of 17, 18, 31, and 48 yards. On the flip side, the Denver defense has been susceptible to long runs, conceding 20, 24, 27, 52, 67, and 72 yards.

With a 52.3% snap rate and a significant share of rushing attempts for the Chiefs, Pacheco is their primary rushing option. Expect him to exploit this favorable matchup and surpass the 16.5-yard threshold for his longest rush.

Key Takeaways:

➤ Pacheco faces a Broncos defense that has struggled against opposing running backs.

➤ Windy conditions may lead to more running plays, benefiting Pacheco’s chances.

Russell Wilson Under 33.5 Passing Attempts (-108)

The Broncos’ offense has been inconsistent this season, making it challenging to predict their performance. Inconsistency is not conducive to betting the over, especially when it comes to passing attempts.

Russell Wilson has gone under 33.5 passing attempts in three of the five games this season. The potential adverse weather conditions only reinforce the idea that we could see fewer passing attempts.

When weather conditions deteriorate, teams often opt for a ground-based attack to control the clock and reduce the quarterback’s pass attempts. With Javonte Williams returning to practice, the Broncos should have a more robust running game, further supporting the under 33.5 passing attempts for Wilson.

Key Takeaways:

➤ Denver’s offense has shown inconsistency this season.

➤ Adverse weather conditions can lead to fewer passing attempts.

Conclusion

As you gear up for Thursday Night Football in Week 6, consider these player prop bets to add excitement to your viewing experience. Keep an eye on factors like injuries and weather conditions, as they can significantly impact the outcomes of these bets. Remember, it’s essential to make informed decisions when wagering, and OddsJam provides the tools and insights you need to do just that.

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