3 Must-Play MLB Picks for September 1, 2023 on FanDuel

Are you ready to elevate your MLB DFS game? Seeking out value plays can be a game-changer, giving you a competitive edge in your lineup building. In this article, we present three exceptional value plays for today’s main slate on FanDuel, backed by advanced statistics from FanGraphs. Let’s dive into the action and make your fantasy baseball experience more rewarding.

James Paxton – A Diamond in the Rough ($8,800)

When it comes to identifying a value gem, James Paxton stands out as an enticing pick. The stars are aligning for Paxton, making him a compelling choice for your roster.

The Matchup Matters

Paxton is set to face the Kansas City Royals, a team that has struggled against left-handed pitchers. Their active roster boasts the fourth-worst weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) at .304 against lefties, coupled with the 11th-highest strikeout rate (23.9%) in such scenarios. This creates a favorable environment for Paxton to shine.

Paxton’s Performance Highlights

Despite limited pitching appearances between 2019 and this year, Paxton has showcased his prowess in 2023. Across 94 2/3 innings, he has achieved a commendable 4.01 Skill-Interactive Earned Run Average (SIERA), a 25.2% strikeout rate, and an impressive 12.7% swinging-strike rate. These figures underscore his ability to seize control of this matchup and provide value for your lineup.

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Evan Longoria – Unleashing Dominance from the Plate ($2,100)

Evan Longoria’s consistent performance against southpaw pitchers makes him a prime target when facing a left-handed hurler. Today’s matchup against Cole Irvin positions Longoria as a valuable asset in your fantasy arsenal.

Exploiting the Split

Longoria has displayed a remarkable .347 wOBA, a potent 43.9% hard-hit rate, and an equally impressive 43.9% fly-ball rate against left-handed pitchers. These stats underline his ability to thrive in this split, presenting an opportunity to generate substantial fantasy points.

Capitalizing on Irvin’s Vulnerabilities

Cole Irvin has shown susceptibility to right-handed batters, allowing a concerning 43.6% fly-ball rate and surrendering 1.35 home runs per nine innings. Longoria’s prowess against lefties coupled with Irvin’s vulnerabilities make him an alluring option for DFS enthusiasts.

Jesus Sanchez – Unleashing the Lefty Advantage ($2,400)

Jesus Sanchez is poised to deliver fireworks against Jake Irvin, who has struggled to contain left-handed hitters. Sanchez’s left-handed approach combined with Irvin’s weaknesses make this an enticing matchup.

Taking Advantage of Irvin’s Struggles

Jake Irvin’s performance has been subpar, evidenced by a 4.96 SIERA and a mere 6.9% swinging-strike rate. Left-handed batters have capitalized on his struggles, boasting a formidable .373 wOBA and averaging 2.21 home runs per nine innings against him.

Sanchez’s Lefty Power

Sanchez thrives against right-handed pitchers, boasting a robust .343 wOBA in such scenarios. His potential to exploit Irvin’s shortcomings offers a tantalizing opportunity for significant DFS points.

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